Essays about: "Dynamic credit modelling"

Found 3 essays containing the words Dynamic credit modelling.

  1. 1. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : John Eriksson; Jacob Holmberg; [2023]
    Keywords : Startup Default Probability; Venture Debt; Gaussian Copula; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Exposure at Default; Loss Given Default; Forecast; Linear Dynamic System; ARIMA Time Series; Monte Carlo Simulation; Linear Regression; Central Limit Theorem;

    Abstract : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. READ MORE

  3. 2. PROFITABILITY MODELLING FOR CREDIT MARKET COMPANY : MODELLING AND EVALUATION OF PROFITABILITY AND CREDIT RISK FOR LARGE CONTRACTS

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Mattias Kvarnerås; Viktor Pettersson; [2020]
    Keywords : Credit Risk; Credit; Modelling; Model; Profitability; Kreditrisk; Modell; Modellering; Lönsamhet;

    Abstract : Risk and profitability are two topics that companies today have to face and deal with. There are different type of risks that either directly or indirectly affect the survival of a company. READ MORE

  4. 3. Dynamic Credit Models : An analysis using Monte Carlo methods and variance reduction techniques

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Emelie Järnberg; [2016]
    Keywords : Credit risk; Dynamic credit modelling; Stochastic process; Monte Carlo; Importance sampling; Antithetic variates; Probability matrix method; Default probability; Default event; Variance reduction;

    Abstract : In this thesis, the credit worthiness of a company is modelled using a stochastic process. Two credit models are considered; Merton's model, which models the value of a firm's assets using geometric Brownian motion, and the distance to default model, which is driven by a two factor jump diffusion process. READ MORE