Essays about: "Forecasts"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 613 essays containing the word Forecasts.
-
1. Does industry survey data improve GDP forecasting?
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionenAbstract : This study assesses the integration of industry survey data into Bayesian Vector Auto Regressive (BVAR) models for GDP forecasting in Sweden. Analyzing a combination of macro economic indicators, CPI and unemployment rates, with survey data from NIER, it explores the effects of different variable combinations on the forecasting ability of different models. READ MORE
-
2. CULTURAL BEHAVIORAL CHANGE- BEHIND THE SCENES : An abductive study on cultural dimensional interactions
University essay from Umeå universitet/FöretagsekonomiAbstract : The complex and unpredictable nature of cultural behavioral changes has posed multiple challenges for marketing practitioners during recent years. These challenges include, but are not limited to, inaccurate market forecasts, market failures, wasted resources etc. READ MORE
-
3. Are Distributional Variables Useful for Forecasting With the Phillips Curve?
University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomiAbstract : Does information on the distribution of wealth and income help us forecast aggregate macroeconomic variables? In this thesis, we study how adding such distributional variables to a standard forecasting model affects the forecast accuracy, in the context of inflation forecasting. Using the simulated inflation forecasting approach of Atkeson and Ohanian (2001), we perform a horse race between a textbook NAIRU Phillips curve to an extension augmented with variables from the wealth and income distributions. READ MORE
-
4. Corporate Foresight and its Role in Driving Innovation - A case study of the Swedish grocery industry and how they use corporate foresight in order to improve their innovation strategies
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolAbstract : The world is constantly changing with factors that we partly can control and some that are outside of our control. Living in these complex systems demands tackling but also embracing uncertainty. The focus should not be on controlling the outcomes by narrow forecasts. READ MORE
-
5. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.
University essay fromAbstract : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. READ MORE
