Essays about: "historical simulation weighted"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 26 essays containing the words historical simulation weighted.

  1. 1. Traffic State Estimation on Swedish Highways : Model Comparison using Multisource Data

    University essay from KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

    Author : Jiaqi Xu; [2023]
    Keywords : Traffic State Estimation; Macroscopic Traffic Model; Extended Kalman Filter; Particle Filter; Data Fusion; Trafiklägesuppskattning; Makroskopisk trafikmodell; Utökad Kalman-filter; Partikelfilter; Datafusion;

    Abstract : Due to the escalating demand for traffic information and management, the significance of traffic state estimation, which involves the assessment of traffic conditions on road segments with limited measurement data, is increasing. Two primary estimation methods are model-driven and data-driven. READ MORE

  3. 2. Into the Trading Book: Estimating Expected Shortfall

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Robin Eric Schmutz; Leonard Schneider; [2023]
    Keywords : Expected shortfall; Trading book; Historical simulation; Parametric estimation; Backtesting; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : In light of the revised 2019 proposals constituting the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book, which amend the third Basel Accord, expected shortfall is set to replace value at risk as the risk measure dictating banks' capital reserving requirements for exposure to market risk. This paper examines how best to accurately estimate expected shortfall from a regulatory perspective by carrying out an array of non-parametric as well as parametric methods over the recent years of financial instability. READ MORE

  4. 3. Risk measurement of cryptocurrencies using value at risk and expected shortfall

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Van Cao Thi Hong; [2022]
    Keywords : cryptocurrencies; value at risk; expected shortfall; risk measurement; parametric methods; non-parametric methods; EWMA; GARCH; EGARCH; GJRGARCH; backtesting; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile and risky assets, therefore, it is of vital importance to find an appropriate model for risk measurement. This thesis compares three parametric and three non-parametric estimation methods to estimate the value at risk and the expected shortfall of five cryptocurrencies, namely Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Binance coin (BNB), Ripple coin (XRP), and Cardano (ADA). READ MORE

  5. 4. On the Value at Risk Forecasting of the Market Risk for Large Portfolios based on Dynamic Factor Models with Multivariate GARCH Specifications

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Axel Eurenius Larsson; [2022]
    Keywords : Dynamic factor model; Value at Risk; Forecasting; Conditional Correlation GARCH.;

    Abstract : Market risk is the risk of capital loss due to unexpected changes in market prices. One risk measure used to estimate market risk is Value at Risk (VaR). The common historical simulation methodology of VaR forecasting usually does not capture the time-varying volatilities associated with financial data. READ MORE

  6. 5. Forecasting Value-at-Risk using GARCH(1,1) and Neural Networks as Volatility Estimation Methods – A Comparative Study

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Signe Grönberg; Sofia Nilsson; [2022]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : Northvolt was founded in 2015 with the goal to create the world's greenest battery. Today, Northvolt is mainly funded by investors and have suppliers all over the world, which does not come risk free. READ MORE