Essays about: "party-preference"

Found 4 essays containing the word party-preference.

1. 1. Comparing forecast combinations to traditional time series forcasting models : An application into Swedish public opinion

   University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

   Author : Hanna Hamberg; [2022]
   Keywords : statistics; forecast; election; polls; ARIMA; exponential smoothing; forecast combinations;

   Abstract : The objective of this paper is to retrospectively evaluate forecast models for polling data, to be used prospectively for the Swedish general election in 2022. One of the simplest ways of forecasting an election result is through opinion polls, and using the latest observation as the forecast. READ MORE

3. 2. Knowing and Loathing : A quantitative study on political knowledge and affective polarization

   University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

   Author : Embla Holmgren; [2021]
   Keywords : Affective polarization; political knowledge; partisanship;

   Abstract : Affective polarization is a relatively new concept that refers to feelings of sympathy towards partisans of a person's own political party preference and antipathy towards those who vote for and identify with opposing parties. This thesis aims to answer the questions if those who know more about politics also are more affectively polarized, and whether there is a difference between knowing about different types of political facts, and the predicted level of affective polarization. READ MORE

4. 3. Did the fascists get you? : The New Right's influence on right-wing populism

   University essay from Linnéuniversitetet/Institutionen för samhällsstudier (SS)

   Author : Jonathan Madeland; [2020]
   Keywords : fascism; survey experiment; causal networks; New Right; Nouvelle Droite; right-wing populism; the Sweden Democrats;

   Abstract : An experimental survey (N = 415) is used to evaluate fascist qualifications within party preference groups, regarding susceptibility to a neofascist communication style and gravitation toward fascist ideas. Testing the notion by fascism expert Roger Griffin, that the influence of the neofascist intellectual movement the New Right (la Nouvelle Droite) is successfully shaping the 21st century wave of right-wing populism, it is hypothesized that sympathizers of the Swedish right-wing populism equivalent (the Sweden Democrats) are more susceptible to a neofascist communication style and more preconditioned to agree with covertly fascist ideas (as based on the writings of the Nouvelle Droite). READ MORE

5. 4. Margin of Error - A study of the use and misuse of polls in the Swedish media

   University essay from Lunds universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen; Lunds universitet/Mänskliga rättigheter

   Author : Pontus Lindström; [2013]
   Keywords : opinion polls; media; horserace; mediatization; party-preference; Law and Political Science;

   Abstract : The purpose of this thesis is to analyse how the Swedish newspapers' use of party-preference polls has changed over time. I study 246 articles published by Göteborgs-Posten, Dagens Nyheter, Aftonbladet and Expressen, and compare the time-period 1994-1996 with 2010-2012. READ MORE