Essays about: "price forecasting model"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 105 essays containing the words price forecasting model.

  1. 1. Does industry survey data improve GDP forecasting?

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Oscar Andersson; Ludvig Fornstedt; [2024-03-06]
    Keywords : Bayesian; BVAR; Forecasting; GDP; survey data;

    Abstract : This study assesses the integration of industry survey data into Bayesian Vector Auto Regressive (BVAR) models for GDP forecasting in Sweden. Analyzing a combination of macro economic indicators, CPI and unemployment rates, with survey data from NIER, it explores the effects of different variable combinations on the forecasting ability of different models. READ MORE

  3. 2. Long-term Forecasting Heat Use in Sweden's Residential Sector using Genetic Algorithms and Neural Network

    University essay from Högskolan i Halmstad/Akademin för företagande, innovation och hållbarhet

    Author : Alireza Momtaz; Mohammad Befkin; [2024]
    Keywords : Genetic Algorithm; Neural Network; Forecasting; Heat Use;

    Abstract : In this study, the parameters of population, gross domestic product (GDP), heat price, U-value, and temperature have been used to predict heat consumption for Sweden till 2050. It should be noted that the heat consumption has been considered for multi-family houses. Most multi-family houses (MFH) get their primary heat from district heating (DH). READ MORE

  4. 3. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Gustav Veres; Philip Ahlfridh; [2023-06-29]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. READ MORE

  5. 4. On Predicting Price Volatility from Limit Order Books

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Matematiska institutionen

    Author : Reza Dadfar; [2023]
    Keywords : General Compound Hawkes Process; Limit Order Book LOB ; High- Frequency Trading; Price Volatility; Markov Chain.;

    Abstract : Accurate forecasting of stock price movements is crucial for optimizing trade execution and mitigating risk in automated trading environments, especially when leveraging Limit Order Book (LOB) data. However, developing predictive models from LOB data presents substantial challenges due to its inherent complexities and high-frequency nature. READ MORE

  6. 5. A Markovian Approach to Financial Market Forecasting

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Kevin Sun Wang; William Borin; [2023]
    Keywords : Markov chain; Markov model; stock market prediction; Laplace smoothing; steady-state; forecasting; trading strategy; stochastic; trading algorithm; Markovkedjor; Markovmodell; prediktion; Laplace-jämning; stationär fördelning; tradingstrategi; stokastisk; trading algoritm;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to investigate the feasibility of using a Markovian approach toforecast short-term stock market movements. To assist traders in making soundtrading decisions, this study proposes a Markovian model using a selection ofthe latest closing prices. READ MORE