Measuring the causal effect of air temperature on violent crime

Abstract: This thesis aimed to apply the causal framework with potential outcomes to examine the causal effect of air temperature on reported violent crimes in Swedish municipalities. The Generalized Estimating Equations method was used on yearly, monthly and also July only data for the time period 2002-2014. One significant causal effect was established but the majority of the results pointed to there being no causal effect between air temperature and reported violent crimes.