Coincidence Factor and Battery Energy Storage Systems for Industrial Electrical Power Supply : A Field Study of Building 178 at Scania AB, Södertälje

Abstract: Coincidence factors have been researched since the late 1800s, as they displays the ratio between the maximum coincidencental power usage of a system, and the sum of the maximum individual loads of the system. Accurate estimations of the highest coincidental power usage allow for minimal material usage when constructing substations, transformers, overhead lines, and cables for power transmission. Scania is large bus and truck production industry in Sweden, and has realised that it over-estimate the largest coincidental power usage of production facilities, which leads to unnecessary investment costs and power subscription with the power distribution utility. This study is special, as the area of coincidence factors for industrial purposes are rarely investigated. In combination with modelling of BESS for power supply, this study aims to investigate established methods of calculating coincidence factors for industrial purposes and their relevance, as the results will be compared to actual values from measurements. The results of the study showed that Velander ́s method, used by utilities in Sweden and a few other countries, is not very relevant for estimating highest coincidental power usage, as this requires accurate estimation of yearly energy usage, and two other parameters, k1 & k2 . The normal distribution is better for this purpose but also requires accurate data. This study proposed a method based on the normal distribution, that requires follow-up in order to guarantee that it is accurate in multiple cases. In addition, a BESS was modelled using Matlab, with the initial aim of peak-shaving. Since this did not prove profitable with Scania ́s standards, the modelling simply aimed at being profitable using Net Present Value as economical tool for evaluating profitability. The results displayed a lot of profitable sizes of the BESS where the battery became profitable after five years minimum.