A Model-Predictive-Control Based Smart-Grid Aggregator

Abstract: Intermittent energy source usage, such as solar and wind power, is continuously increasing. Intermittent energy sources are highly dependent on prevailing weather conditions, resulting in stochastic electricity generation. The expected stochasticity in electricity generation will cause issues for the current power grid. Moreover, an expected issue for the Swedish power grid is higher peak loads. Thus, there is an emerging need for novel and smart power systems capable of shifting peak loads in the future electricity grid. Model Predictive Control (MPC) is a sophisticated control method that is suitable for smart-grid aggregators. Hence, MPC can be used to optimally control the efficiency of energy use in a smart grid and shift peak loads. The purpose of this thesis is to investigate optimal peak load-shifting and efficiency of electrical substation operation in a smart grid in Ramsjöåsen, Sweden, using an MPC based smart-grid aggregator. Furthermore, the purpose is also to contribute to the theoretical foundation for future peak load-shifting in smart grids. Within the thesis project a mathematical model for the smart grid in Ramsjöåsen is developed, which is then used to simulate different scenarios. The simulated results indicate that an MPC based smart-grid aggregator improves the performance of the smart grid in Ramsjöåsen, as regards to both peak load-shifting and efficiency of electrical substation operation.