Durable Solutions, Durable Peace? : Assessing the Impact of Peace Agreement Provisions Regarding Forced Displacement on the Durability of Peace
Abstract: This paper investigates the relationship between the level of implementation of peace agreement provisions regarding forced displacement and the durability of peace in a country. Based on the assumption that implementation creates durable solutions for refugees and internally displaced persons, I argue that the attainment of durable solutions enables displaced populations to contribute to peacebuilding in different ways, for example by encouraging economic activity or promoting transitional justice. These engagements with peacebuilding, in turn, make durable peace more likely. To test this theory, I estimate several logistic models, making use of implementation data from the Peace Accord Matrix and a replication dataset. I find tentative support for my hypothesis that higher levels of implementation of said category of provisions increase the chance of durable peace, but concede that more research must follow to verify and solidify my results.
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