Essays about: "APARCH"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 10 essays containing the word APARCH.

  1. 1. Symmetry or Asymmetry: A model comparison between different ARCH-class volatility models using Bitcoin returns

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Hannes Wiklund; [2022]
    Keywords : GARCH; Model Confidence Set; Bitcoin; Volatility Forecasting; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : This thesis will in turn evaluate the forecast performance of different ARCH-type models' forecast ability using Bitcoin returns from 01-04-2015 to 01-04-2022. More specifically, it is of interest to see if a simple GARCH(1,1) model can outperform more sophisticated models that incorporate the asymmetry in volatility. READ MORE

  3. 2. Volatility Forecasting Performance of GARCH Models : A Study on Nordic Indices During COVID-19

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Nationalekonomi

    Author : Ludwig Schmidt; [2021]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : Volatility forecasting is an important tool in financial economics such as risk management, asset allocation and option pricing since an understanding of future volatility can help professional and private investors minimize their losses. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the volatility forecasting performance of symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models on Nordic indices during COVID-19. READ MORE

  4. 3. Modeling asymmetry in volatility response - non-Gaussian innovations approach

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Ludvig Göransson; [2020]
    Keywords : ARCH; GARCH; APARCH; Asymmetric GARCH; non-Gaussian innovations; Laplace distribution; Leverage effect; Stylized facts; Volatility process.; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : This thesis is an explorative note on the non-Gaussian innovations of the volatility process. More specifically, the thesis investigates if the decomposition of the Standard Classical Laplace (SCL) distribution to a difference of two exponential is a valid alternative to modelling the asymmetric volatility processes, taking volatility clustering, the leverage effect and asymmetric response in volatility into account. READ MORE

  5. 4. Predicting Uncertainty in Financial Markets : -An empirical study on ARCH-class models ability to estimate Value at Risk

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Arvid Nybrant; Henrik Rundberg; [2018]
    Keywords : VaR; GARCH; Volatility Forecasting; Backtesting; Conditional Heteroscedasticity;

    Abstract : Value at Risk has over the last couple of decades become one of the most widely used measures of market risk. Several methods to compute this measure have been suggested. READ MORE

  6. 5. Forecasting Swedish Stock Market Volatility and Value-at-Risk: A Comparison of EWMA and GARCH Models

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Carl Nilsson; [2017]
    Keywords : volatility forecasting; VaR; GARCH; model confidence set; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : In this study we compare different volatility models on their ability to forecast one day ahead volatility and value-at-risk (VaR). We compare five different GARCH specifications: GARCH, IGARCH, GJR-GARCH, EGARCH and APARCH, as well as EWMA, each paired with six different conditional distributions. READ MORE