Essays about: "ARIMA"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 107 essays containing the word ARIMA.

  1. 1. Short-term forecasting Swedish annual real GDP growth using SARIMA models : A study in forecasting current year Swedish annual real GDP growth using SARIMA models with the Box-Jenkins methodology as a general framework

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Mark Becker; [2023]
    Keywords : SARIMA; ARIMA; ARMA; Box-Jenkins; Real GDP; MAE;

    Abstract : Simulated current year annual real GDP growth forecasts for 2015-2021 are made using a chosen SARIMA model, with the Box-Jenkins methodology as a general modelling framework. The forecasts are compared to the actual outcomes and the Absolute Errors (AE) and the Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) are calculated for each year. READ MORE

  3. 2. Forecasting Inventory Quantities : Time Series Models for Visualizing Fluctuations within Outbound Logistics

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Johan Lagerström; Lisa Sundström; [2022]
    Keywords : Outbound Logistics; Forecasting; Fluctuations; Time Series Analysis; Inventory space; 3PL;

    Abstract : Forecasting demand is one of the processes which greatly influences the decision making within a company, and it is also one of the greatest sources of uncertainty. Inaccurate forecasts force companies to find ways to compensate for the uncertainty, often by building inventories. READ MORE

  4. 3. Are REITs in Singapore and Hong Kong Being Inflation Hedging? : An empirical analysis of the relationship between REIT returns and inflation

    University essay from KTH/Fastighetsföretagande och finansiella system

    Author : Caixing Bin; [2022]
    Keywords : REITs; inflation; hedge; returns; REITs; inflation; hedge; avkastning;

    Abstract : This paper examinesinflation in Singapore and Hong Kong between 2002 to 2021. The purpose is to investigate whether REITs can hedge against inflation. The inflation will be divided into expected inflation (EI) and unexpected inflation (UI). READ MORE

  5. 4. Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning

    University essay from Södertörns högskola/Nationalekonomi

    Author : Yixin Guo; [2022]
    Keywords : Machine Learning; Stock Price; Time Series Data; Deep Learning;

    Abstract : Accurate prediction of stock prices plays an increasingly prominent role in the stock market where returns and risks fluctuate wildly, and both financial institutions and regulatory authorities have paid sufficient attention to it. As a method of asset allocation, stocks have always been favored by investors because of their high returns. READ MORE

  6. 5. Statistical modelling of Bitcoin volatility : Has the sanctions on Russia had any effect on Bitcoin?

    University essay from Stockholms universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Mathilda Schönbeck; Fatima Salman; [2022]
    Keywords : Bitcoin; forecasting; volatility; logarithmic return; ARCH; GARCH; ARIMA model; dynamic regression;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to fit and compare different time series models namely the ARIMA-model, conditional heteroscedastic models and lastly a dynamic regression model with ARIMA error to Bitcoin closing price data that spans over 5 consecutive years. The purpose is to evaluate if the sanction on Russia had any effect on the cryptocurrency Bitcoin. READ MORE