Essays about: "Conflict forecasting"

Found 4 essays containing the words Conflict forecasting.

  1. 1. Extracting Growth Expectations from Financial Markets: An Investigation into the Dividend Market Dynamics

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Gösta Lycke; [2023]
    Keywords : Dividend futures; GDP growth forecasting; Economic shocks; Market expectations; Financial market derivatives;

    Abstract : Dividend futures, reflecting the economic surplus, can be used as a forecasting tool for dividend and GDP growth. Building on prior research, I broaden the scope of analysis by encompassing a range of countries and evaluate the impact of shocks such as a military conflict on dividend and GDP growth expectations. READ MORE

  3. 2. Forecasting conflict using RNNs

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Signaler och system

    Author : Simon Hellman; [2021]
    Keywords : Conflict forecasting; machine learning; LSTM; time-series forecasting; conflict;

    Abstract : The rise in machine learning has made the subject interesting for new types of uses. This Master thesis implements and evaluates an LSTM-based algorithm on the conflict forecasting problem. Data is structured in country-month pairs, with information about conflict, economy, demography, democracy and unrest. READ MORE

  4. 3. The Unpredictability of Conflict - A reconceptualisation of political instability and its potential for forecasting conflict

    University essay from Malmö universitet/Fakulteten för kultur och samhälle (KS)

    Author : Raoul Kunze; [2019]
    Keywords : Political instability; Conflict; Arab Spring; Political risk;

    Abstract : This thesis is dedicated to developing a concept that allows for predicting the magnitude of political instability periods. To that end existing literature is consulted to explore the most appropriate definitions and explanatory models for creating a elaborated approach to political instability. READ MORE

  5. 4. Finding Value Through Sustainable Performance : A cross-sectional study of the relationship between risk-adjusted return and Environmental, Social and Governance performance on the Indian stock market

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Företagsekonomi

    Author : Christoffer Johansson; Petter Lundström; [2015]
    Keywords : ESG; India; Risk-adjusted return; Screening; Efficient markets;

    Abstract : Problem background and discussion: Emerging countries economies are growing substantially; one of these is India which stock market has been one of the best performing in the world in recent years. Analysts are forecasting further development and some claims that India has the most business- and investment-stimulating political leaders in the world. READ MORE