Essays about: "Diebold-Mariano test."
Showing result 1 - 5 of 11 essays containing the words Diebold-Mariano test..
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1. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.
University essay fromAbstract : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. READ MORE
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2. Forecasting Volatility of Ether- An empirical evaluation of volatility models and their capacity to forecast one-day-ahead volatility of Ether
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolAbstract : This study evaluates the performance of volatility models in forecasting one-day-ahead volatility of the cryptocurrency Ether. The selected models are: GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, SMA9, SMA20, and EWMA. We investigate both in-sample performance and out-of-sample performance. READ MORE
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3. A comparison of forecasting techniques: Predicting the S&P500
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionenAbstract : Accurately predicting the S\&P 500 index means knowing where the US economy is heading. If there was a model that could predict the S\&P 500 with even some accuracy, this would be extremely valuable. Machine learning techniques such as neural network and Random forest have become more popular in forecasting. READ MORE
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4. Using Machine Learning to Predict Aggregate Excess Returns
University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för finansiell ekonomiAbstract : In this paper we examine whether standard linear regression and machine learning tools can be used to predict the time series of total returns in excess of the risk-free rate on the S&P500 and FTSE100 indices. We have virtually no success in predicting monthly returns. However, we do have some success in predicting annual returns. READ MORE
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5. Forcasting the Daily Air Temperature in Uppsala Using Univariate Time Series
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionenAbstract : This study is a comparison of forecasting methods for predicting the daily maximum air temperatures in Uppsala using real data from the Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute. The methods for comparison are univariate time series approaches suitable for the data and represent both standard and more recently developed methods. READ MORE
