Essays about: "GARCH"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 231 essays containing the word GARCH.

  1. 1. Volatility forecasting using the GARCH framework on the OMXS30 and MIB30 stock indices

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Institutionen för nationalekonomi med statistik

    Author : Peter Johansson; [2019-01-22]
    Keywords : Volatility forecasting; Random Walk; Moving Average; Exponentially Weighted Moving Average; GARCH; EGARCH; GJR-GARCH; APGARCH; volatility model valuation; regression; information criterion;

    Abstract : There are many models on the market that claim to predict changes in financial assets as stocks on the Stockholm stock exchange (OMXS30) and the Milano stock exchange index (MIB30). Which of these models gives the best forecasts for further risk management purposes for the period 31st of October 2003 to 30th of December 2008? Is the GARCH framework more successful in forecasting volatility than more simple models as the Random Walk, Moving Average or the Exponentially Weighted Moving Average?The purpose of this study is to find and investigate different volatility forecasting models and especially GARCH models that have been developed during the years. READ MORE

  2. 2. A STUDY ON THE DCC-GARCH MODEL’S FORECASTING ABILITY WITH VALUE-AT-RISK APPLICATIONS ON THE SCANDINAVIAN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen; Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Tim Andersson-Säll; Johan Lindskog; [2019]
    Keywords : Multivariate GARCH; Conditional Correlations; Forecasting; Time-varying covariance matrices; Exchange rate returns; Variance-Covariance matrix;

    Abstract : This thesis has treated the subject of DCC-GARCH model’s forecasting ability and Value-at- Risk applications on the Scandinavian foreign exchange market. The estimated models were based on daily opening foreign exchange spot rates in the period of 2004-2013, which captured the information in the financial crisis of 2008 and Eurozone crisis in the early 2010s. READ MORE

  3. 3. Algorithmic Trading and Prediction of Foreign Exchange Rates Based on the Option Expiration Effect

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Sina Mozayyan Esfahani; [2019]
    Keywords : Option expiration effect; option relevance coefficient; algorithmic trading; time series analysis; GARCH-X.; Effekten av optioners förfall; optionsrelevanskoefficient; algoritmisk handel; tidsserieanalys; GARCH-X.;

    Abstract : The equity option expiration effect is a well observed phenomenon and is explained by delta hedge rebalancing and pinning risk, which makes the strike price of an option work as a magnet for the underlying price. The FX option expiration effect has not previously been explored to the same extent. READ MORE

  4. 4. A comparison of multivariate GARCH models with respect to Value at Risk

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Victor Boman; [2019]
    Keywords : multivariate GARCH; Value at Risk; forecasting; conditional correlation;

    Abstract : Since the introduction univariate GARCH models number of available models have grown rapidly and has been extended to the multivariate area. This paper compares three different multivariate GARCH models and they are evaluated using out of sample Value at Risk of dif- ferent portfolios. READ MORE

  5. 5. Gold - A Safe Haven : A quantitative research of gold and its role as a safe haven in Sweden

    University essay from Södertörns högskola/Nationalekonomi

    Author : Daniel Elmblad; [2019]
    Keywords : safe haven; gold; stocks; bonds; ARCH; GARCH; GARCH 1; 1 ;

    Abstract : During stormy weathers ships searched for safe havens to stay until the storm had subsided. In much similarity to these ships, investors on the financial markets search for safe assets when the markets start to shake. What could be considered a safe asset seems to be a never-ending discussion but many points out gold as one. READ MORE