Essays about: "Market Forecast"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 247 essays containing the words Market Forecast.
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1. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolAbstract : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. READ MORE
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2. Unveiling the Predictive Power
University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionenAbstract : To obtain excessive returns on the stock market, investors should be able to effectively forecast what drives the fluctuations of the stock market. The usage of macroeconomic factors as indicators for stock market performances has been utilized more profoundly in recent times. READ MORE
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3. Does the Level of Swedish Economic Policy Uncertainty Help Forecast Excess Returns on the Swedish Stock Market?
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionenAbstract : This thesis examines whether the level of Swedish economic policy uncertainty (EPU) can predict excess returns on the Swedish stock market. We run out-of-sample forecasting using an EPU-based predictive model constructed with the official Swedish EPU index developed by Armelius et al. (2017). READ MORE
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4. On modelling OMXS30 stocks - comparison between ARMA models and neural networks
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Matematiska institutionenAbstract : This thesis compares the results of the performance of the statistical Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and the neural network Long short-term model (LSTM) on a data set, which represents a market index. Both models are used to predict monthly, daily, and minute close prices of the OMX Stockholm 30 Index. READ MORE
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5. Battery storage implementation in Sweden and sizing software development
University essay from KTH/Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM)Abstract : Due to the rampant growth of the penetration of renewables into the electrical grids across the world, more challenges appear in the way to assure the optimal operation of the energy system. More particularly, in the case of Sweden, the nuclear power decommissioning tendency and the 100% renewable energy target by 2040, set two strong additional motivations for the rise of issues regarding variability, uncertainty, stability, balancing and quality in the grid. READ MORE
