Essays about: "Negative Binomial regression"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 28 essays containing the words Negative Binomial regression.

  1. 1. Forecasting Football Corner Odds: Statistical Modelling, Betting Strategies and Assessing Market Efficiency

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Gustav Pålsson; Marcus Laurens; [2023]
    Keywords : Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : Statistical modelling could be included in a betting strategy where the value of a bet is assessed by comparing model predictions and market odds. This thesis presents several models based on statistical learning methods for predicting the total number of corners in a football match. READ MORE

  3. 2. Civil war and third-party non-combatants : Understanding the logic of violence against humanitarian aid workers in the setting of intrastate conflict

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning

    Author : Malika Rakhmankulova; [2022]
    Keywords : conflict; aid workers;

    Abstract : Attacks against humanitarian aid workers are a concerning global trend that has been noted since the end of the Cold War. Despite this, limited research is available that combines overt theoretical testing with empirical procedures. READ MORE

  4. 3. Favourable Opportunities in Sports Betting - A Statistical Approach to Football Goals in the Premier League

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Fredrik Lindau; Gustaf Carle; [2022]
    Keywords : statistics; Poisson distribution; Negative Binomial distribution; Bayesian regression; football; Premier League; sports betting; market efficiency; probability theory; estimations; statistik; Poisson fördelning; Negativ Binomial fördelning; Bayesiansk regression; fotboll; Premier League; betting; marknadseffektivitet; sannolikhetsteori; skattningar;

    Abstract : The premise of this report is to delve into sports betting and whether favourable opportunities can be found, more specifically focusing on over and under odds for number of goals scored in football games of the Premier League. Using historical data from football matches several models are developed, the characteristics of goals warranting the use of probability based Poisson and Negative Binomial models, as well as Bayesian Poisson regression for goal predictions. READ MORE

  5. 4. A closer look at war: analyzing the determinants of conflict in Mozambique during 2013-2021 using geo-referenced data

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Ekonomisk-historiska institutionen

    Author : Fátima de Arriba Moreno; [2022]
    Keywords : conflicts; vertical inequality; horizontal inequality; ethnic fractionalization; natural resources; climate change; zero-inflated negative binomial model; Social Sciences;

    Abstract : The relationship between inequality and conflict has been widely studied in the literature, finding non-significant results. However, the availability of new statistical software and geographical databases has boosted new literature on the topic, focusing on the regional level. READ MORE

  6. 5. Socio-economic inequality in Health : - An analysis of individuals over the age of 50 in the European population

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Nationalekonomi

    Author : Evelina Jansson; [2021]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : I have considered how socio-economic status are related to different health outcomes among people older than 50 years in the population of Europe and Israel. The data originates from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (the SHARE-project) and offers the opportunity for an in-depth analysis through its information-rich content that includes over 100 different variables at the individual level, covering the years 2004-2017. READ MORE