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Showing result 1 - 5 of 51 essays matching the above criteria.
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1. Modeling Stoppage Time as a Convolution of Negative Binomials
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Avdelningen för systemteknikAbstract : This thesis develops and evaluates a probabilistic model that estimates the stoppage time in football. Stoppage time represents the additional minutes of play given after the original matchtime is over. It is crucial in determining the course of events during the remainder of a match, thereby affecting the odds of live sports betting. READ MORE
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2. Pricing and Modeling Heavy Tailed Reinsurance Treaties - A Pricing Application to Risk XL Contracts
University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistikAbstract : To estimate the risk of a loss occurring for insurance takers is a difficult task in the insurance industry. It is an even more difficult task to price the risk for reinsurance companies which insures the primary insurers. READ MORE
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3. Governing with the Commons : A quantitative study on the effects of Civil Society on Rebel Governance
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskningAbstract : What is the impact of civil society on rebel governance? The field of rebel governance has gained increased attention recently, but few researchers highlight the interactive relationship between rebels and local communities. As the principal organisational tool for civilian populations, civil society has been largely overlooked. READ MORE
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4. Forecasting Football Corner Odds: Statistical Modelling, Betting Strategies and Assessing Market Efficiency
University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistikAbstract : Statistical modelling could be included in a betting strategy where the value of a bet is assessed by comparing model predictions and market odds. This thesis presents several models based on statistical learning methods for predicting the total number of corners in a football match. READ MORE
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5. Civil war and third-party non-combatants : Understanding the logic of violence against humanitarian aid workers in the setting of intrastate conflict
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskningAbstract : Attacks against humanitarian aid workers are a concerning global trend that has been noted since the end of the Cold War. Despite this, limited research is available that combines overt theoretical testing with empirical procedures. READ MORE