Essays about: "Public Opinion Polls"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 7 essays containing the words Public Opinion Polls.

  1. 1. Exploration of using Twitter data to predict Swedish political opinion polls with neural networks

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Alexander Gren; Klara Lundgren; [2023]
    Keywords : Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to explore the possibility of using deep learning techniques to mine opinions on Twitter, with the objective to predict the political opinion distribution in Sweden. Different methods of gathering and annotating training data are evaluated to achieve accurate and reliable predictions. READ MORE

  2. 2. Comparing forecast combinations to traditional time series forcasting models : An application into Swedish public opinion

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Hanna Hamberg; [2022]
    Keywords : statistics; forecast; election; polls; ARIMA; exponential smoothing; forecast combinations;

    Abstract : The objective of this paper is to retrospectively evaluate forecast models for polling data, to be used prospectively for the Swedish general election in 2022. One of the simplest ways of forecasting an election result is through opinion polls, and using the latest observation as the forecast. READ MORE

  3. 3. What determines who qualifies? : A quantitative study on the presence of first- and second-level agenda setting and issue ownership in the 2020 Democratic primary debates.

    University essay from Karlstads universitet/Institutionen för geografi, medier och kommunikation (from 2013)

    Author : Lovisa Boström; [2021]
    Keywords : agenda setting; attribute agenda setting; issue ownership; framing; primary election debates; dagordningsteorin; andra nivån av dagordningsteorin; framingteorin; issue ownership; amerikanska primärdebatter;

    Abstract : The purpose of this study is to investigate the presence of first- and second-level agenda setting as well as issue ownership in the 2020 Democratic primary debates and whether there is a relationship between using strategies based on these theories and qualifying for future debates. The study seeks to answer three research questions: What is the relationship, if any, between a candidate whose statements focused primarily on the three issues considered most important by the public according to opinion polls and whether this candidate qualified for future debates? How did candidates use frames to redraw the attention of issues? What is the relationship, if any, between the extent to which a candidate’s statements discussed performance issues more than Republican-owned or Democratic-owned issues and whether this candidate qualified for future debates? The study draws mainly on the first and second level of the agenda setting theory, as well as the theory of issue ownership, and analyzes what issues candidates focus on, what attributes of these issues they emphasize, and whether they discuss performance issues like the economy or foreign policy more than issues owned by either the Republican or the Democratic Party. READ MORE

  4. 4. Shift in Opinion or Change of Expression Public Reaction on Twitter to Abortion Policy Changes

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

    Author : Klara Lindahl; [2020-09-21]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : In 2019, nine US states voted on drastic policy changes to restrict access to abortion. Did the American population react to these policy changes, and if so how? Theory suggests that if the public disagrees with the policy changes, public opinion moves in the opposite direction of the policies. This is referred to as the Thermostat theory. READ MORE

  5. 5. France at war - Hollande’s securitization of terrorism after the 2015 attacks and the reaction of the French public

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

    Author : Alexandre Hjorth Gernigon; [2020]
    Keywords : Law and Political Science;

    Abstract : As terrorism after the 9/11 attacks has emerged as one of the most important threats to international security, the political discourse used by world leaders regarding the topic is becoming more and more essential to study. One way to do this is by using securitization theory, which helps us understand how something becomes a security issue, and how security threats are socially constructed through the use of language. READ MORE