Essays about: "VALUE AT RISK BACKTESTING"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 42 essays containing the words VALUE AT RISK BACKTESTING.

  1. 1. Forecasting Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall: A comparison of non- and parametric methods for crude oil amidst extreme volatility

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Otto Colbin; Yugam Sharma; [2023]
    Keywords : Value-at-Risk VaR ; Expected Shortfall ES ; Nonparametric estimation methods; Parametric estimation methods; Crude oil.; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : Practitioners primarily utilise nonparametric methods when estimating Value-at- Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for computing capital requirements. However, various researchers assert that there are issues with those estimates, particularly amidst periods of market turmoil. READ MORE

  3. 2. Into the Trading Book: Estimating Expected Shortfall

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Robin Eric Schmutz; Leonard Schneider; [2023]
    Keywords : Expected shortfall; Trading book; Historical simulation; Parametric estimation; Backtesting; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : In light of the revised 2019 proposals constituting the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book, which amend the third Basel Accord, expected shortfall is set to replace value at risk as the risk measure dictating banks' capital reserving requirements for exposure to market risk. This paper examines how best to accurately estimate expected shortfall from a regulatory perspective by carrying out an array of non-parametric as well as parametric methods over the recent years of financial instability. READ MORE

  4. 3. Modelling Risk in Real-Life Multi-Asset Portfolios

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : Karin Hahn; Axel Backlund; [2023]
    Keywords : Risk modelling; multi-asset portfolios; risk factor models; time series analysis; regression; Riskmodellering; finansiella portföljer; riskfaktormodeller; tidsserieanalys; regression;

    Abstract : We develop a risk factor model based on data from a large number of portfolios spanning multiple asset classes. The risk factors are selected based on economic theory through an analysis of the asset holdings, as well as statistical tests. READ MORE

  5. 4. Copula approach to fitting bivariate time series

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Jun Wang; [2023]
    Keywords : VaR; Copula; ARMA-GARCH; Extreme Value Theory; GPD; Hill estimator; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : We apply the GARCH-copula method to estimate Value at Risk (VaR) for European and Stockholm stock indices. First, marginal distributions are estimated by the ARMA-GARCH model with normal, Student-t, and skewed t distributions. READ MORE

  6. 5. Backtesting Expected Shortfall : A qualitative study for central counterparty clearing

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Emil Berglund; Albin Markgren; [2022]
    Keywords : Expected Shortfall; Value-at-Risk; Initial Margin; Backtesting; Central Counterparty Clearing;

    Abstract : Within Central Counterparty Clearing, the Clearing House collects Initial Margin from its Clearing Members. The Initial Margin can be calculated in many ways, one of which is by applying the commonly used risk measure Value-at-Risk. However, Value-at-Risk has one major flaw, namely its inability to encapsulate Tail Risk. READ MORE