Essays about: "Volatility forecast"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 88 essays containing the words Volatility forecast.
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1. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.
University essay fromAbstract : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. READ MORE
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2. Forecasting Volatility of Ether- An empirical evaluation of volatility models and their capacity to forecast one-day-ahead volatility of Ether
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolAbstract : This study evaluates the performance of volatility models in forecasting one-day-ahead volatility of the cryptocurrency Ether. The selected models are: GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, SMA9, SMA20, and EWMA. We investigate both in-sample performance and out-of-sample performance. READ MORE
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3. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models
University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate SchoolAbstract : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. READ MORE
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4. Volatility Modelling in the Swedish and US Fixed Income Market : A comparative study of GARCH, ARCH, E-GARCH and GJR-GARCH Models on Government Bonds
University essay from Linköpings universitet/Nationalekonomi; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakultetenAbstract : Volatility is an important variable in financial markets, risk management and making investment decisions. Different volatility models are beneficial tools to use when predicting future volatility. The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of various volatility models, including ARCH, GARCH and extensions of the GARCH framework. READ MORE
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5. CryptoCurrency Time Series analysis : Comparative analysis between LSTM and BART Algorithm
University essay from Blekinge Tekniska Högskola/Institutionen för datavetenskapAbstract : Background: Cryptocurrency is an innovative digital or virtual form of money thatuses cryptographic techniques for secured financial transactions within a decentralized structure. Due to its high volatility and susceptibility to external factors, itis difficult to understand its behavior which makes accurate predictions challengingfor the investors who are trying to forecast price changes and make profitable investments. READ MORE