Essays about: "default probability"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 97 essays containing the words default probability.

  1. 1. ESG Performance and Probability of Default

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för redovisning och finansiering

    Author : Julius Bengtsson; Magnus Fredriksson; [2024]
    Keywords : ESG; CSR; Stakeholder Theory; Probability of Default;

    Abstract : This study aims to investigate how firms' ESG performance affects their probability of default for Nordic listed firms. Based on stakeholder theory as well as findings from previous literature, we hypothesise that this relationship is negative as our main hypothesis. READ MORE

  3. 2. Modelling Proxy Credit Cruves Using Recurrent Neural Networks

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Lucas Fageräng; Hugo Thoursie; [2023]
    Keywords : Deep Neural Networks; Credit Risk; Financial Modelling; LSTM; Credit Default Swaps; Credit Valuation Adjustment; Djupa Neurala Nätverk; Kreditrisk; Finansiell Modellering; LSTM; Kreditswappar; Kreditvärderingsjustering;

    Abstract : Since the global financial crisis of 2008, regulatory bodies worldwide have implementedincreasingly stringent requirements for measuring and pricing default risk in financialderivatives. Counterparty Credit Risk (CCR) serves as the measure for default risk infinancial derivatives, and Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) is the pricing method used toincorporate this default risk into derivatives prices. READ MORE

  4. 3. Probability of Default Machine Learning Modeling : A Stress Testing Evaluation

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Tobias Andersson; Mattias Mentes; [2023]
    Keywords : Probability of Default; Machine Learning; Stress Testing; Logistic Regression; Decision Tree; Random Forest; Artificial Neural Network;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to assist in the development of machine learning models tailored for stress testing. The main objective is to create models that can predict loan defaults while considering the impact of macroeconomic stress. READ MORE

  5. 4. Modeling Credit Default Swap Spreads with Transformers : A Thesis in collaboration with Handelsbanken

    University essay from KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

    Author : Johan Luhr; [2023]
    Keywords : Machine Learning; Transformer; Finance; Credit Default Swap; Credit Valuation Adjustment; Time Series Data; Maskininlärning; Transformer; Finance; Kreditswapp; Kredit Värderings Justering; Tidsserie data;

    Abstract : In the aftermath of the credit crisis in 2007, the importance of Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) rose in the Over The Counter (OTC) derivative pricing process. One important part of the pricing process is to determine Probability of Defaults (PDs) of the counterparty in question. READ MORE

  6. 5. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : John Eriksson; Jacob Holmberg; [2023]
    Keywords : Startup Default Probability; Venture Debt; Gaussian Copula; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Exposure at Default; Loss Given Default; Forecast; Linear Dynamic System; ARIMA Time Series; Monte Carlo Simulation; Linear Regression; Central Limit Theorem;

    Abstract : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. READ MORE