Essays about: "financial forecast risk thesis"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 18 essays containing the words financial forecast risk thesis.

  1. 1. Portfolio Risk Modelling in Venture Debt

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : John Eriksson; Jacob Holmberg; [2023]
    Keywords : Startup Default Probability; Venture Debt; Gaussian Copula; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Exposure at Default; Loss Given Default; Forecast; Linear Dynamic System; ARIMA Time Series; Monte Carlo Simulation; Linear Regression; Central Limit Theorem;

    Abstract : This thesis project is an experimental study on how to approach quantitative portfolio credit risk modelling in Venture Debt portfolios. Facing a lack of applicable default data from ArK and publicly available sets, as well as seeking to capture companies that fail to service debt obligations before defaulting per se, we present an approach to risk modeling based on trends in revenue. READ MORE

  3. 2. Risk Assessment of Digital Assets – Insurance Applications in Cryptocurrencies and NFTs

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Institutionen för elektro- och informationsteknik

    Author : Roberto Delgado Ferrezuelo; [2023]
    Keywords : Blockchain; NFTs; private key; phishing; floor price; rarity; cold wallet; hot wallet; risk premium; Technology and Engineering;

    Abstract : The aim of the project is to develop a framework for an insurance policy for digital assets. The project comprised several stages, starting with the identification of risks associated with these assets. Policyholders were then categorized into two groups based on a predefined rating factor. READ MORE

  4. 3. Scoring from the Sidelines : Managing Risk through an Uncertain Environment

    University essay from Jönköping University/Internationella Handelshögskolan

    Author : Gabriel Butros; Junior Chukro; [2023]
    Keywords : Sports management; Risk management; Swedish elite football; Uncertainty; Volatility; Stakeholder theory; Governance; Mutual association.; Sports management; Riskhantering; Svensk elitfotboll; Osäkerhet; Volatilitet; Intressenteori; Styrning; Idrottsförening.;

    Abstract : Sports clubs face numerous challenges, including economic fluctuations, shifting supporter preferences, and changes in regulations and policies. However, the unpredictable nature of athletic performance makes it difficult to forecast future financial outcomes, which can negatively impact planning and operations. READ MORE

  5. 4. Risk Evaluation in a ML-Approximated Portfolio Environment

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : Filip Franzén; Karl Axel Nord; [2022]
    Keywords : Financial risk management; forecasting; machine learning; FMCG; Finansiell riskhantering; prognostisering; maskininlärning; konsumtionsvaror;

    Abstract : This thesis explores and evaluates the forecasting application of the machine learning method Gradient Boosting Decision Trees. This method is used to forecast the demand of the online grocery market with a 7-day time horizon. The thesis was conducted in collaboration with the online grocery company Mathem. READ MORE

  6. 5. Prediction of Short-term Default Probability of Credit Card Invoices Using Behavioural Data

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Billy Lu; [2022]
    Keywords : Probability of Default; Credit Risk; Short-term Default Prediction; Machine Learning; Gradient Boosting; Thresholding; Sannolikheten för Fallissemang; Kreditrisk; Kortsiktig Fallissemang Prediktion; Maskininlärning; Gradientförstärkning; Tröskling;

    Abstract : Probability of Default (PD) is a standard metric to model and monitor credit risk, a major risk facing financial institutions. Traditional PD models are used to forecast risk levels in the long-term, while short-term PD predictions are rarer, but they can support management decisions on an operational level. READ MORE