Essays about: "financial forecasting"

Showing result 16 - 20 of 189 essays containing the words financial forecasting.

  1. 16. The Influence of Gold Market on Bitcoin Prices : Is there a correlation?

    University essay from Jönköping University/Internationella Handelshögskolan

    Author : Kasra Shariati; [2022]
    Keywords : Bitcoin; Gold; Investor Attention; Market Performance; Virtual Currency Development; Investments; Correlation;

    Abstract : Background: This paper analyses the influence of fluctuation in gold market on bitcoin prices. Based on previous studies, in present market conditions, volatility in gold prices have caused price changes in several other major assets in the market, such as crude oil. Gold fluctuations are likely to stimulate uncertainty in some other major assets. READ MORE

  2. 17. Volatility & The Black Swan : Investigation of Univariate ARCH-models, HARRV and Implied Volatility in Nasdaq100 amid Covid19

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Karl Tingstedt; [2022]
    Keywords : SV; ARCH; GARCH; TARCH; EGARCH; HARRV; IV; RV; Integrated Volatility; TINA;

    Abstract : Covid19 hit the world’s financial markets by surprise in March 2020 and ensuing volatility marked an end to the prior low-volatility environment. This Black Swan engendered numerous publications establishing how the equity market responded to the exogenous shock. READ MORE

  3. 18. Forecasting gold returns using principal component analysis from a large number of predictors

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Fredrik Allgén; [2022]
    Keywords : Forecasting; Gold; Principal Component Analysis; ARMA; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : Gold is known in the financial world to be an important asset in unstable periods, especially as a hedge against inflation. If the gold price can be forecasted, it will be possible to strategically invest in gold rather than acquire it as a last-minute hedge against economic downturns. READ MORE

  4. 19. Time Dependencies Between Equity Options Implied Volatility Surfaces and Stock Loans, A Forecast Analysis with Recurrent Neural Networks and Multivariate Time Series

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : Simon Wahlberg; [2022]
    Keywords : RNN; LSTM; GRU; vector autoregression; implied volatility surface; stock loan; equity options; multivariate time-series analysis; financial mathematics.; Rekursiva neurala nätverk; LSTM; GRU; VAR; implicerade volatilitetsytor; aktielån; aktieoptioner; multidimensionell tidsserieanalys; finansiell matematik.;

    Abstract : Synthetic short positions constructed by equity options and stock loan short sells are linked by arbitrage. This thesis analyses the link by considering the implied volatility surface (IVS) at 80%, 100%, and 120% moneyness, and stock loan variables such as benchmark rate (rt), utilization, short interest, and transaction trends to inspect time-dependent structures between the two assets. READ MORE

  5. 20. Stock Price Prediction Using Machine Learning

    University essay from Södertörns högskola/Nationalekonomi

    Author : Yixin Guo; [2022]
    Keywords : Machine Learning; Stock Price; Time Series Data; Deep Learning;

    Abstract : Accurate prediction of stock prices plays an increasingly prominent role in the stock market where returns and risks fluctuate wildly, and both financial institutions and regulatory authorities have paid sufficient attention to it. As a method of asset allocation, stocks have always been favored by investors because of their high returns. READ MORE