Essays about: "futures trading"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 50 essays containing the words futures trading.

  1. 1. Predictive Modeling and Statistical Inference for CTA returns : A Hidden Markov Approach with Sparse Logistic Regression

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Oskar Fransson; [2023]
    Keywords : Probability theory; Statistical inference; finance; CTA; managed futures; machine learning; statistical learning; stochastic process; sparse logistic regression; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Hidden Markov model;

    Abstract : This thesis focuses on predicting trends in Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), also known as trend-following hedge funds. The paper applies a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for classifying trends. Additionally, by incorporating additional features, a regularized logistic regression model is used to enhance prediction capability. READ MORE

  3. 2. Terminshandel i en volatil marknad : lantbrukares beteende vid finansiell riskhantering

    University essay from SLU/Dept. of Economics

    Author : Gustav Nord; [2023]
    Keywords : riskhantering; beteende; terminshandel; lantbruk; risk management; behavior; futures trading; agriculture;

    Abstract : Riskhantering är inom företagsekonomin ett återkommande tema, framför allt hur man hanterar risker samt vad det är som avgör vilka instrument som nyttjas. Som lantbrukare stöter man på många olika typer av risker i vardagen, däribland en risk som är kopplat till en oväntad förändring av prisnivåer. READ MORE

  4. 3. Prediction of nickel product prices with LSTM

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Analys och partiella differentialekvationer

    Author : Daniella Rosendahl; [2023]
    Keywords : LSTM; ML; Machine learning;

    Abstract : Prediction of future stock markets has long been, and will continue to be a relevant topic. However, predicting markets is one of the most challenging areas to work with due to the unpredictability of the market. The extent to which markets can be predicted is a debated subject that has not yet been answered. READ MORE

  5. 4. The game of the electricity market : A game theoretical approach to investigate trading strategies in the Nordic electricity futures market

    University essay from Linnéuniversitetet/Institutionen för nationalekonomi och statistik (NS)

    Author : Camilla Hytter; [2023]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : With the background of the increasing volatility in the electricity market the recent years this thesis investigates the electricity futures market and the benefit for market participants to perform some trading strategy in order to increase profit or reduce risk. By modeling the market as a stochastic game the trader acts as a player in the game and with two simple models the player can predict the probability that the market moves up or down and take the appropriate position according to the prediction. READ MORE

  6. 5. Powering up profits - Integrating Power Purchase Agreements and Battery Systems for Nordic Power Futures

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Institutionen för energivetenskaper

    Author : William Thorwaldson; Ellen Jinglöv; [2023]
    Keywords : Power Purchase Agreements; Financial Power Trading; Battery Energy Storage Systems; Power Futures; Technology and Engineering;

    Abstract : This master’s thesis aims to assess the profitability and the factors impacting the profitability of entering a short position in financial derivative contracts on the Nordic power market while procuring electricity through a pay-as-produced power purchase contract and on the day-ahead (DA) market, simultaneously the strategy utilizes a battery storage system to mitigate the effects of price spikes. The research adopted a mixed-method approach by combining quantitative analysis with qualitative findings. READ MORE