Essays about: "garch 1"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 125 essays containing the words garch 1.

  1. 1. Volatility Forecasting - A comparative study of different forecasting models.

    University essay from

    Author : Emil Sturesson; Anton Wennström; [2023-06-29]
    Keywords : Volatility; GARCH; EGARCH; t-GAS; HAR-RV; Realized GARCH; Volatility Forecasting; Volatility Modelling;

    Abstract : This study evaluates the out-of-sample forecasting performance of different volatility mod- els. When applied to XACT OMXS30, we use GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1), and t- GAS(1,1) to forecast squared daily returns while Realized GARCH(1,1) and HAR-RV are used to forecast Realized Variance. READ MORE

  3. 2. Empirical Analysis of Joint Quantile and Expected Shortfall Regression Backtests

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Sannolikhetsteori och kombinatorik

    Author : Viktor Ågren; [2023]
    Keywords : risk metric; expected shortfall; backtest; value at risk; empirical analysis;

    Abstract : In this work, we look into the practical applicability of three joint quantile and expected shortfall regression backtests. The strict, auxiliary, and intercept ESR backtests are applied to the historical log returns of the OMX Stockholm 30 market-weight price index. READ MORE

  4. 3. Copula approach to fitting bivariate time series

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Jun Wang; [2023]
    Keywords : VaR; Copula; ARMA-GARCH; Extreme Value Theory; GPD; Hill estimator; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : We apply the GARCH-copula method to estimate Value at Risk (VaR) for European and Stockholm stock indices. First, marginal distributions are estimated by the ARMA-GARCH model with normal, Student-t, and skewed t distributions. READ MORE

  5. 4. A time series analysis of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on container shipping freight rates: An application to the Asia-Europe trade route

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Chen Yuchun; Zhou Shiyu; [2022-08-03]
    Keywords : Container shipping; Freight rates; COVID-19; Oil prices; Stock market prices; Time series model; GARCH;

    Abstract : The outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic caused a sudden disruption to the shipping industry. However, for container shipping, freight rates have reached record highs during the pandemic. Shipping companies realise that understanding the impact of exogenous shocks on freight rate fluctuations to forecast freight rates is critical. READ MORE

  6. 5. Symmetry or Asymmetry: A model comparison between different ARCH-class volatility models using Bitcoin returns

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Hannes Wiklund; [2022]
    Keywords : GARCH; Model Confidence Set; Bitcoin; Volatility Forecasting; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : This thesis will in turn evaluate the forecast performance of different ARCH-type models' forecast ability using Bitcoin returns from 01-04-2015 to 01-04-2022. More specifically, it is of interest to see if a simple GARCH(1,1) model can outperform more sophisticated models that incorporate the asymmetry in volatility. READ MORE