Essays about: "numerical weather prediction"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 32 essays containing the words numerical weather prediction.

1. 1. Improvement of Wind Power Forecasting and Prediction of Production Losses Caused by Ice Formation on Wind Turbine Blades : - A Machine Learning Approach

   University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för fysik

   Author : Emelie Sjökvist; [2023]
   Keywords : ;

   Abstract : In the ongoing climate crisis, transitioning to renewable energy sources is essential to manage the increasing energy demand. One such renewable energy source is the weather-dependent energy source, wind power. Many wind farms are located in Cold Climate (CC) regions, known for their vast potential for wind power production. READ MORE

3. 2. Data Assimilation for Systems with Multiple Timescales

   University essay from KTH/Skolan för teknikvetenskap (SCI)

   Author : Dan Vicente Ihanus; [2023]
   Keywords : Mathematics; Partial Differential Equations; Numerical analysis; Data assimilation; Numerical weather prediction; Ensemble Kalman Filter;

   Abstract : This text provides an overview of problems in the field of data assimilation. We explore the possibility of recreating unknown data by continuously inserting known data into certain dynamical systems, under certain regularity assumptions. READ MORE

4. 3. Improving Visibility Forecasts in Denmark Using Machine Learning Post-processing

   University essay from Uppsala universitet/Luft-, vatten- och landskapslära

   Author : August Thomasson; [2023]
   Keywords : visibility forecast; fog; machine learning; numerical weather predicition; XGBoost; Random Forest; siktprognos; dimma; maskininlärning; numerisk vädermodell; XGBoost; Random Forest;

   Abstract : Accurate fog prediction is an important task facing forecast centers since low visibility can affect anthropogenic systems, such as aviation. Therefore, this study investigates the use of Machine Learning classification algorithms for post-processing the output of the Danish Meteorological Institute’s operational Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) model to improve visibility prediction. READ MORE

5. 4. Conform with the Wind : Processing short-term ensemble forecasts with conformal based methods for probabilistic wind-speed forecasting

   University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

   Author : Simon Althoff; [2023]
   Keywords : wind-speed; probabilistic; forecasts; forecasting; ensemble; post-processing; conformal prediction; conformal predictive systems; quantile regression forest; non-exchangeable; Mathematics and Statistics;

   Abstract : Forecasting wind has always been an interesting subject, and as large parts of the world are relying more on wind for power production it is becoming even more important to have reliable forecasts. Probabilistic forecasts, where distributions are predicted in contrast to deterministic forecasts, are impor- tant for informed decision making. READ MORE

6. 5. ASSESMENT OF WIND POWER FORECASTING ERROR FOR GOTLAND

   University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för geovetenskaper

   Author : Simon Rengmyr; [2022]
   Keywords : Wind power forecasting; Machine learning; Numerical weather prediction;

   Abstract : When the wind blows and wind turbine generators harvests the kinetic energy and trans- forms it to electrical power, there is a need for predicting how much power that will be dispatched from the turbines. Even the most perfect computer model with high computa- tional power could not model the beauty of the forces of nature and we must accept some degree of forecasting error in the predicted power output due to the inherently stochastic patterns in the atmosphere. READ MORE