Essays about: "prediction markets"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 93 essays containing the words prediction markets.

1. 1. Network Connectedness in Financial Markets

   University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för finansiell ekonomi

   Author : Andrea Marcolini; [2024]
   Keywords : Systemic risk modeling; US REITs connectedness; S P 500 connectedness; Returns and realized volatilities prediction;

   Abstract : This paper is a collection of two different theses discussing the prediction of the returns and volatilities of the S&P 500 constituents and of US Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) by analyzing their centrality within the financial market network. Both empirical works summarize the relevant financial and network literature, demonstrating how modeling stock connectedness within financial markets makes it possible to create returns and volatility predictors, improving investors' portfolio allocations and achieved investment Sharpe ratios. READ MORE

3. 2. Predictability of Shareholder Return in Medical Device Companies : Investment Decisions from thePerspective of an Investment Firm

   University essay from KTH/Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM)

   Author : Daniel Gröttheim; [2023]
   Keywords : Medical device companies; pre-market approval; total return; abnormal return; stock return prediction; market anomalies; free cash flow yield; efficient markets; financial crisis; investment firm; Medicintekniska företag; förmarknadsgodkännande; totalavkastning; abnorm avkastning; aktieavkastningsförutsägbarhet; marknadsavvikelser; avkastning på fritt kassaflöde; effektiva marknader; finanskris; investeringsföretag;

   Abstract : The medical device industry has seen rapid growth in recent years, and the increasing valuations has caught the attention of investors. Although their growth has outpaced many indices, medical device companies’ reliance on capital to finance research, patents, and clinical testing to reach pre-market approval makes due-diligence and the investment research process especially complex. READ MORE

4. 3. Predictive Modeling and Statistical Inference for CTA returns : A Hidden Markov Approach with Sparse Logistic Regression

   University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

   Author : Oskar Fransson; [2023]
   Keywords : Probability theory; Statistical inference; finance; CTA; managed futures; machine learning; statistical learning; stochastic process; sparse logistic regression; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Hidden Markov model;

   Abstract : This thesis focuses on predicting trends in Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), also known as trend-following hedge funds. The paper applies a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for classifying trends. Additionally, by incorporating additional features, a regularized logistic regression model is used to enhance prediction capability. READ MORE

5. 4. Sentiment-Driven Cryptocurrency Price Prediction : A Comparative Analysis of AI Models

   University essay from Blekinge Tekniska Högskola/Institutionen för datavetenskap

   Author : Jammithri Kotapati; Suma Vendrapu; [2023]
   Keywords : Artificial Intelligence; Cryptocurrency Prices; News Articles; Sentiment Analysis; Social Media Posts. ii;

   Abstract : Background: In the last few years, there has been rapid growth in the use of cryptocurrency, as it is a form of digital currency and was developed using blockchain technology, so it is almost impossible to counterfeit cryptocurrency. Due to these features, it has attracted a lot of popularity and attention in the market. READ MORE

6. 5. Macro-based Adjustment Factors for Valuations in Venture Capital

   University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

   Author : Tomás Pinto; [2023]
   Keywords : Valuation; Start-ups; VCM; Multiples Approach; Business and Economics;

   Abstract : This paper focuses on creating macro-based adjustment factors which can be applied to the valuation of start-up companies. Since start-up companies are private, market valuations are limited to events such as funding rounds or M&A transactions, which happen only at discrete points in time. READ MORE