The Validity of Technical Analysis for the Swedish Stock Exchange : Evidence from random walk tests and back testing analysis

University essay from Högskolan i Jönköping/IHH, Economics, Finance and Statistics

Author: Dan Gustafsson; [2012]

Keywords: Technical Analysis; RSI; Efficient Market Hypothesis; Behaviour Finance; Negative Feedback Trading;

Abstract:

In this paper I examine the validity of technical analysis for the Swedish stock index OMXS30 between 2001-12-28 and 2011-12-30.  Results indicate that OMXS30 followed a non-random walk and that technical trading rules had predictive power over future price movements. Results also suggest that technical trading rules could be used to outperform a buy-and-hold strategy.

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