Stockperformance indicators post recession : - A Study of valuation tools and strategies during recovery
Problem: What are the most useful techniques to indicate the stocks that will outperform the market 12 month post the recession period? Purpose: The purpose is to find out which method(s): P/B, EV/EBIT, level of debt and so on, will offer investors the highest returns on the investments post the recession period based on the example of the IT crisis of 2000/2001. Method: Quantitative study, covering the Swedish OMX Index from 2001 until December 2002. Conclusions: Three variables should be reconsidered when making an investment decision post the recession period. These variables were earlier 12 months returns, dividend yield and P/E ratios. However, it is crucial to understand that these three tools should not be viewed all together.
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