Regional Rainfall Frequency Analysis

Abstract: Frequency analysis is a vital tool when nding a well-suited probability distributionin order to predict extreme rainfall. The regional frequency approach have beenused for determination of homogeneous regions, using 11 sites in Skane, Sweden. Todescribe maximum annual daily rainfall, the Generalized Logistic (GLO), GeneralizedExtreme Value (GEV), Generalized Normal (GNO), Pearson Type III (PE3),and Generalized Pareto (GPA) distributions have been considered. The method ofL-moments have been used in order to nd parameter estimates for the candidatedistributions. Heterogeneity measures, goodness-of-t tests, and accuracy measureshave been executed in order to accurately estimate quantiles for 1-, 5-, 10-, 50- and100-year return periods. It was found that the whole province of Skane could beconsidered as homogeneous. The GEV distribution was the most consistent withthe data followed by the GNO distribution and they were both used in order toestimate quantiles for the return periods. The GEV distribution generated the mostprecise estimates with the lowest relative RMSE, hence, it was concluded to be thebest-t distribution for maximum annual daily rainfall in the province.