Forecasting Service Metrics for Network Services

University essay from KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

Abstract: As the size and complexity of the internet increased dramatically in recent years,the burden of network service management also became heavier. The need foran intelligent way for data analysis and forecasting becomes urgent. The wideimplementation of machine learning and data analysis methods provides a newway to analyze large amounts of data.In this project, I study and evaluate data forecasting methods using machinelearning techniques and time series analysis methods on data collected fromthe KTH testbed. Comparing different methods with respect to accuracy andcomputing overhead I propose the best method for data forecasting for differentscenarios.The results show that machine learning techniques using regression can achievebetter performance with higher accuracy and smaller computing overhead. Timeseries data analysis methods have relatively lower accuracy, and the computingoverhead is much higher than machine learning techniques on the datasetsevaluated in this project.

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