Essays about: "Binomial Models"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 41 essays containing the words Binomial Models.

  1. 1. Pricing and Modeling Heavy Tailed Reinsurance Treaties - A Pricing Application to Risk XL Contracts

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Ormia Abdullah Mohamad; Anna Westin; [2023]
    Keywords : Reinsurance; Extreme Value Theory; POT-model; Hill estimator; Risk XL contracts; Generalized Pareto distribution; Method of Moments.; Återförsäkring; Extremevärdesteori; POT-modellen; Hill estimatorn; Risk XL kontrakt; generella Paretofördelningen; Momentmetoden.;

    Abstract : To estimate the risk of a loss occurring for insurance takers is a difficult task in the insurance industry. It is an even more difficult task to price the risk for reinsurance companies which insures the primary insurers. READ MORE

  3. 2. Governing with the Commons : A quantitative study on the effects of Civil Society on Rebel Governance

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning

    Author : Theodor Stensö; [2023]
    Keywords : Rebel Governance; Civil Society; Conflict Intensity; Ideology; Grassroot;

    Abstract : What is the impact of civil society on rebel governance? The field of rebel governance has gained increased attention recently, but few researchers highlight the interactive relationship between rebels and local communities. As the principal organisational tool for civilian populations, civil society has been largely overlooked. READ MORE

  4. 3. Forecasting Football Corner Odds: Statistical Modelling, Betting Strategies and Assessing Market Efficiency

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Gustav Pålsson; Marcus Laurens; [2023]
    Keywords : Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : Statistical modelling could be included in a betting strategy where the value of a bet is assessed by comparing model predictions and market odds. This thesis presents several models based on statistical learning methods for predicting the total number of corners in a football match. READ MORE

  5. 4. Civil war and third-party non-combatants : Understanding the logic of violence against humanitarian aid workers in the setting of intrastate conflict

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Institutionen för freds- och konfliktforskning

    Author : Malika Rakhmankulova; [2022]
    Keywords : conflict; aid workers;

    Abstract : Attacks against humanitarian aid workers are a concerning global trend that has been noted since the end of the Cold War. Despite this, limited research is available that combines overt theoretical testing with empirical procedures. READ MORE

  6. 5. Favourable Opportunities in Sports Betting - A Statistical Approach to Football Goals in the Premier League

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Fredrik Lindau; Gustaf Carle; [2022]
    Keywords : statistics; Poisson distribution; Negative Binomial distribution; Bayesian regression; football; Premier League; sports betting; market efficiency; probability theory; estimations; statistik; Poisson fördelning; Negativ Binomial fördelning; Bayesiansk regression; fotboll; Premier League; betting; marknadseffektivitet; sannolikhetsteori; skattningar;

    Abstract : The premise of this report is to delve into sports betting and whether favourable opportunities can be found, more specifically focusing on over and under odds for number of goals scored in football games of the Premier League. Using historical data from football matches several models are developed, the characteristics of goals warranting the use of probability based Poisson and Negative Binomial models, as well as Bayesian Poisson regression for goal predictions. READ MORE