Essays about: "betting odds"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 17 essays containing the words betting odds.
-
1. Predicting Counter-Strike Matches using Machine Learning Models
University essay from Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionenAbstract : Sports betting is a widespread industry where predictive modeling play a big role. The goal of this thesis is to explore the possibilities of machine learning within the realm of e-sport prediction. The data used for this thesis is publicly available data was recorded over a three year period. READ MORE
-
2. Modeling Stoppage Time as a Convolution of Negative Binomials
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Avdelningen för systemteknikAbstract : This thesis develops and evaluates a probabilistic model that estimates the stoppage time in football. Stoppage time represents the additional minutes of play given after the original matchtime is over. It is crucial in determining the course of events during the remainder of a match, thereby affecting the odds of live sports betting. READ MORE
-
3. Forecasting Football Corner Odds: Statistical Modelling, Betting Strategies and Assessing Market Efficiency
University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistikAbstract : Statistical modelling could be included in a betting strategy where the value of a bet is assessed by comparing model predictions and market odds. This thesis presents several models based on statistical learning methods for predicting the total number of corners in a football match. READ MORE
-
4. Beating the odds : Machine Learning for football match prediction
University essay from Jönköping University/Tekniska HögskolanAbstract : This study aimed to compare the accuracy of machine learning models with the probabilities generatedby sports betting companies in predicting the outcome of football matches. The study also investigatedthe impact of different feature combinations on the performance of machine learning models for predicting football match outcomes. READ MORE
-
5. Favourable Opportunities in Sports Betting - A Statistical Approach to Football Goals in the Premier League
University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistikAbstract : The premise of this report is to delve into sports betting and whether favourable opportunities can be found, more specifically focusing on over and under odds for number of goals scored in football games of the Premier League. Using historical data from football matches several models are developed, the characteristics of goals warranting the use of probability based Poisson and Negative Binomial models, as well as Bayesian Poisson regression for goal predictions. READ MORE