Essays about: "GDP growth forecasting"
Showing result 1 - 5 of 29 essays containing the words GDP growth forecasting.
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1. Extracting Growth Expectations from Financial Markets: An Investigation into the Dividend Market Dynamics
University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomiAbstract : Dividend futures, reflecting the economic surplus, can be used as a forecasting tool for dividend and GDP growth. Building on prior research, I broaden the scope of analysis by encompassing a range of countries and evaluate the impact of shocks such as a military conflict on dividend and GDP growth expectations. READ MORE
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2. Forecasting, Monetary Policy, Nominal Gross Domestic Product Stability, and Macroeconomic Outcomes in a suboptimal currency area. : An examination of the Eurozone
University essay from Jönköping University/Internationella HandelshögskolanAbstract : The purpose of this paper is the examination of whether a strategy of using forecasts to stabilise the Nominal Gross Domestic Product (NGDP) growth rate as a nominal anchor, through a rules-based approach to monetary policy is viable in the Eurozone. The paper uses a modified Taylor rule, that uses NGDP forecasts as a variable to generate a prescribed interest rate from which the interest rate set by the European Central Bank (ECB) is subtracted to create a variable we call the Rate Gap. READ MORE
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3. Short-term forecasting Swedish annual real GDP growth using SARIMA models : A study in forecasting current year Swedish annual real GDP growth using SARIMA models with the Box-Jenkins methodology as a general framework
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionenAbstract : Simulated current year annual real GDP growth forecasts for 2015-2021 are made using a chosen SARIMA model, with the Box-Jenkins methodology as a general modelling framework. The forecasts are compared to the actual outcomes and the Absolute Errors (AE) and the Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) are calculated for each year. READ MORE
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4. The Nature Of Chapter-22 Debtors - Forecasting Bankruptcy Recidivism Through a Novel Distress Predictor Model
University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för finansiell ekonomiAbstract : This paper investigates the determinants of bankruptcy recidivism in U.S. courts using a sample of large Chapter 11 cases. We develop, through a series of logistic regressions, a novel distress predictor model that provides insights into variables that are critical to predicting bankruptcy recidivism. READ MORE
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5. The Slippery Slope of Oil - Estimating the future GDP of Nigeria with uni- and multivariate approaches
University essay from Lunds universitet/Ekonomisk-historiska institutionenAbstract : Nigeria is, by population, the largest country in Africa and their economic growth will be a key part in the world reaching the goals of eradicating poverty. This paper investigates the economic growth performance of Nigeria and the relationship between oil and the GDP performance by using growth accounting, ARIMA, VAR and VEC models. READ MORE
