Essays about: "regime-switching"
Showing result 6 - 10 of 28 essays containing the word regime-switching.
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6. ON THE PREDICTIVE PERFORMANCE OF THE STOCK RETURNS BY USING THE MARKOV-SWITCHING MODELS
University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statistiska institutionenAbstract : This paper proposes the basic predictive regression and Markov Regime-Switching regression to predict the excess stock returns in both US and Sweden stock markets. The analysis shows that the Markov Regime-Switching regression models out perform the linear ones in out-of-sample forecasting, which is due to the fact that the regime-switching models capture the economic expansion and recession better. READ MORE
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7. Break Point Detection for Strategic Asset Allocation
University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistikAbstract : This paper focuses on how to improve strategic asset allocation in practice. Strategic asset allocation is perhaps the most fundamental issue in portfolio management and it has been thoroughly discussed in previous research. We take our starting point in the traditional work of Markowitz within portfolio optimization. READ MORE
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8. Term Structure Modeling near the Zero Lower Bound: Regime Switching & Monetary Policy
University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomiAbstract : This thesis proposes a regime-switching extension to the well known autoregressive gamma and gamma-zero process nesting its linear counterpart. The affine term structure model based on the new process matches key stylized facts of interest rates during a zero lower bound period as well as in normal times. READ MORE
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9. A Black-Litterman portfolio allocation model combined with a Markov switching framework
University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistikAbstract : This is a M.Sc. thesis investigating the compatibility and performance of a regime switching framework as a complement to the Black-Litterman portfolio allocation model. Conclusively, it is considered to be a compatible match of models in terms of practical implementation and the results indicate that the model is performing well. READ MORE
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10. Algorithmic Trading in CDS and Equity Indices Using Statistical Arbitrage
University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistikAbstract : Historical data shows a strong relationship between hourly changes in CDS index iTraxx Main and equity futures EURO STOXX 50. We hypothesize that the relatively stable relationship should allow us to trade the two markets. READ MORE
