Essays about: "predictive indicators"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 57 essays containing the words predictive indicators.

  1. 1. Does industry survey data improve GDP forecasting?

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Oscar Andersson; Ludvig Fornstedt; [2024-03-06]
    Keywords : Bayesian; BVAR; Forecasting; GDP; survey data;

    Abstract : This study assesses the integration of industry survey data into Bayesian Vector Auto Regressive (BVAR) models for GDP forecasting in Sweden. Analyzing a combination of macro economic indicators, CPI and unemployment rates, with survey data from NIER, it explores the effects of different variable combinations on the forecasting ability of different models. READ MORE

  3. 2. Prevalent Discord. Exploring and estimating the prevalence of the type of user disagreement on news media Facebook posts discussing the Colombian peace process (2020-2022)

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Luis Felipe Villota Macias; [2024]
    Keywords : Agonistic peace; antagonism; big data analytics; binary logistic regression; computational content analysis; Colombia; Colombian peace process; discord; Facebook; machine learning; peace process; public opinion and sentiment; social media; Law and Political Science; Social Sciences;

    Abstract : This thesis is dedicated to exploring and understanding public reactions within negotiated peace settlements based on social media data. Concretely, to modeling public opinion and sentiment within the context of the Colombian peace process using a curated dataset of N= ~1. READ MORE

  4. 3. Unveiling the Predictive Power

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Alex Lundvall; Gabriel Ahonen; [2023]
    Keywords : Stock market returns; Macroeconomic indicators; Vector Autoregression model; Granger Causality test; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : To obtain excessive returns on the stock market, investors should be able to effectively forecast what drives the fluctuations of the stock market. The usage of macroeconomic factors as indicators for stock market performances has been utilized more profoundly in recent times. READ MORE

  5. 4. Assessing Electricity Prices and Their Driving Mechanisms in Brazil with Neural Networks

    University essay from KTH/Skolan för industriell teknik och management (ITM)

    Author : Henrique Costabile; [2023]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : In general, electricity prices are very volatile and derive from many external variables. In Brazil, this price is determined by computer models developed and operated by government organizations. The supply and demand relationships are not enough to determine prices in Brazilian submarkets. READ MORE

  6. 5. Concordance and the risk of military intervention in post-military states : A comparative case study of Indonesia and Myanmar

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Statsvetenskapliga institutionen

    Author : Elvira Svenheim Paldanius; [2023]
    Keywords : civil-military relations; military coup; civilian control; concordance theory; Southeast Asia; Myanmar; Indonesia;

    Abstract : The 2021 military coup in Myanmar is part of a much bigger trend towards democratic regression in Southeast Asia where military influence has played an important role. Previous research on the SEA region suggests that the citizenry has been overlooked in understanding how civil-military relations have been shaped. Rebecca L. READ MORE