Essays about: "Elsa Rosengren"

Found 1 essay containing the words Elsa Rosengren.

  1. 1. Are Distributional Variables Useful for Forecasting With the Phillips Curve?

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Elsa Rosengren; Pippa Johns; [2024]
    Keywords : Distributional Variables; Heterogeneous Agents; Inflation; Phillips Curve; Inequality;

    Abstract : Does information on the distribution of wealth and income help us forecast aggregate macroeconomic variables? In this thesis, we study how adding such distributional variables to a standard forecasting model affects the forecast accuracy, in the context of inflation forecasting. Using the simulated inflation forecasting approach of Atkeson and Ohanian (2001), we perform a horse race between a textbook NAIRU Phillips curve to an extension augmented with variables from the wealth and income distributions. READ MORE