Essays about: "Prediction Market"

Showing result 6 - 10 of 306 essays containing the words Prediction Market.

  1. 6. Hit song analysis on the Swedish music market : An exploration of hit song classification

    University essay from KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

    Author : David Hurtig; Petter Lager; [2023]
    Keywords : Music; Audio; Machine-learning; Hit-songs; Hit song prediction;

    Abstract : Assessing hit song potential is a challenge in the music industry. The question of what song to promote, which song to release first and whether or not it will succeed has always been an issue for stakeholders in the music business. The ability to statistically evaluate hit song potential is a growing field with several studies exploring the topic. READ MORE

  3. 7. A Markovian Approach to Financial Market Forecasting

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Kevin Sun Wang; William Borin; [2023]
    Keywords : Markov chain; Markov model; stock market prediction; Laplace smoothing; steady-state; forecasting; trading strategy; stochastic; trading algorithm; Markovkedjor; Markovmodell; prediktion; Laplace-jämning; stationär fördelning; tradingstrategi; stokastisk; trading algoritm;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to investigate the feasibility of using a Markovian approach toforecast short-term stock market movements. To assist traders in making soundtrading decisions, this study proposes a Markovian model using a selection ofthe latest closing prices. READ MORE

  4. 8. Predicting Cryptocurrency Prices with Machine Learning Algorithms: A Comparative Analysis

    University essay from Blekinge Tekniska Högskola/Institutionen för datavetenskap

    Author : Harsha Nanda Gudavalli; Khetan Venkata Ratnam Kancherla; [2023]
    Keywords : Bitcoin; Cryptocurrency; Machine Learning;

    Abstract : Background: Due to its decentralized nature and opportunity for substantial gains, cryptocurrency has become a popular investment opportunity. However, the highly unpredictable and volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market poses a challenge for investors looking to predict price movements and make profitable investments. READ MORE

  5. 9. Predictive Modeling and Statistical Inference for CTA returns : A Hidden Markov Approach with Sparse Logistic Regression

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Oskar Fransson; [2023]
    Keywords : Probability theory; Statistical inference; finance; CTA; managed futures; machine learning; statistical learning; stochastic process; sparse logistic regression; Markov Chain Monte Carlo; Hidden Markov model;

    Abstract : This thesis focuses on predicting trends in Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs), also known as trend-following hedge funds. The paper applies a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for classifying trends. Additionally, by incorporating additional features, a regularized logistic regression model is used to enhance prediction capability. READ MORE

  6. 10. Something's in the Air: Exploring Wind Power Investment Incentives in Sweden

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Herman Rogefors; William Karlsson; [2023]
    Keywords : Wind Power; Merit Order Effect; Swedish Electricity Market; Firm Profitability; Investments;

    Abstract : Swedish wind power generation levels have shifted materially over the last decade, nearly accounting for 20% of the total electricity supply by the end of 2021. Along with rapid infrastructure development, industry ownership structures have changed, and foreign equity in wind power is estimated to increase from 36% in 2016 to 66% in 2024. READ MORE