Essays about: "Volatility models"

Showing result 6 - 10 of 355 essays containing the words Volatility models.

  1. 6. Forecasting Volatility of Electricity Intraday Log Returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score Models

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Gustav Veres; Philip Ahlfridh; [2023-06-29]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : We forecast volatility of electricity intraday log returns with Generalized Autoregressive Score (GAS) models. We extend our GAS models with variables representing the difference between the public’s expectation of weather and energy load and the actual outcome using a restricted ARMA(4,4) model. READ MORE

  3. 7. An Attempt at Pricing Zero-Coupon Bonds under the Vasicek Model with a Mean Reverting Stochastic Volatility Factor

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : Benjamin Neander; Victor Mattson; [2023]
    Keywords : Zero-coupon bond; Vasicek model; Two-factor interest rate model; Stochastic volatility.; Nollkupongobligation; Vasicek model; Räntemodell med två faktorer; Stokastisk volatilitet.;

    Abstract : Empirical evidence indicates that the volatility in asset prices is not constant, but varies over time. However, many simple models for asset pricing rest on an assumption of constancy. READ MORE

  4. 8. Stock market analysis with a Markovian approach: Properties and prediction of OMXS30

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Max Aronsson; Anna Folkesson; [2023]
    Keywords : Markov chain; OMXS30; Markov chain properties; voting ensemble model; markovkedja; OMXS30; egenskaper hos markovkedjor; ensemble-modell;

    Abstract : This paper investigates how Markov chain modelling can be applied to the Swedish stock index OMXS30. The investigation is two-fold. Firstly, a Markov chain is based on index data from recent years, where properties such as transition matrix, stationary distribution and hitting time are studied. READ MORE

  5. 9. On Predicting Price Volatility from Limit Order Books

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Matematiska institutionen

    Author : Reza Dadfar; [2023]
    Keywords : General Compound Hawkes Process; Limit Order Book LOB ; High- Frequency Trading; Price Volatility; Markov Chain.;

    Abstract : Accurate forecasting of stock price movements is crucial for optimizing trade execution and mitigating risk in automated trading environments, especially when leveraging Limit Order Book (LOB) data. However, developing predictive models from LOB data presents substantial challenges due to its inherent complexities and high-frequency nature. READ MORE

  6. 10. Modelling Proxy Credit Cruves Using Recurrent Neural Networks

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Lucas Fageräng; Hugo Thoursie; [2023]
    Keywords : Deep Neural Networks; Credit Risk; Financial Modelling; LSTM; Credit Default Swaps; Credit Valuation Adjustment; Djupa Neurala Nätverk; Kreditrisk; Finansiell Modellering; LSTM; Kreditswappar; Kreditvärderingsjustering;

    Abstract : Since the global financial crisis of 2008, regulatory bodies worldwide have implementedincreasingly stringent requirements for measuring and pricing default risk in financialderivatives. Counterparty Credit Risk (CCR) serves as the measure for default risk infinancial derivatives, and Credit Valuation Adjustment (CVA) is the pricing method used toincorporate this default risk into derivatives prices. READ MORE