Essays about: "Markov-switching framework"

Found 5 essays containing the words Markov-switching framework.

  1. 1. Option Pricing Under the Markov-switching Framework Defined by Three States

    University essay from Mälardalens högskola/Akademin för utbildning, kultur och kommunikation

    Author : Minna Castoe; Teo Raspudic; [2020]
    Keywords : Option pricing; Markov-switching framework; Markov chain; Stochastic volatility Monte carlo simulation;

    Abstract : An exact solution for the valuation of the options of the European style can be obtained using the Black-Scholes model. However, some of the limitations of the Black-Scholes model are said to be inconsistent such as the constant volatility of the stock price which is not the case in real life. READ MORE

  2. 2. Assessing the Economic Value of Implied Volatility Estimates

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för finansiell ekonomi

    Author : Johannes Ackermann; [2018]
    Keywords : implied volatility; option pricing; modern portfolio theory; GARCH; Markov switching models;

    Abstract : This thesis studies the value of implied volatility estimates for portfolio allocation under the modern portfolio theory (MPT) framework introduced by Markowitz and compares the pricing performances of several common option pricing models. The thesis consists of two parts. READ MORE

  3. 3. A Black-Litterman portfolio allocation model combined with a Markov switching framework

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Axel Skantze; [2018]
    Keywords : Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : This is a M.Sc. thesis investigating the compatibility and performance of a regime switching framework as a complement to the Black-Litterman portfolio allocation model. Conclusively, it is considered to be a compatible match of models in terms of practical implementation and the results indicate that the model is performing well. READ MORE

  4. 4. Estimating the Swedish Phillips Relationship in a Markov-Switching Vector Autoregression

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Svante Midander; Sebastjan Wassermeyer; [2015]
    Keywords : Markov-switching; Phillips curve; Vector autoregression; Inflation expectations; Non-linear time series models;

    Abstract : The Swedish Phillips relationship was recently examined by Svensson (2015), who found that the long-run trade-off is downward-sloping. Hence, there is an unemployment cost of inflation. He argues that this has occurred because inflation expectations are anchored to the inflation target, while average inflation has deviated from the target. READ MORE

  5. 5. Modelling Power Spikes with Inhomogeneous Markov-Switching Models

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Vicke Norén; [2013]
    Keywords : Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : Interest in modelling electricity prices has, despite its relatively short history, resulted in widespread types of models that tend to be too intricate to incorporate most price characteristics. This thesis pursues a flexible approach that comprehends stylized facts of electricity prices while it still handles complexity in order to facilitate calibration and forecasting. READ MORE