Essays about: "Bayesian Model"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 281 essays containing the words Bayesian Model.

  1. 1. Does industry survey data improve GDP forecasting?

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Oscar Andersson; Ludvig Fornstedt; [2024-03-06]
    Keywords : Bayesian; BVAR; Forecasting; GDP; survey data;

    Abstract : This study assesses the integration of industry survey data into Bayesian Vector Auto Regressive (BVAR) models for GDP forecasting in Sweden. Analyzing a combination of macro economic indicators, CPI and unemployment rates, with survey data from NIER, it explores the effects of different variable combinations on the forecasting ability of different models. READ MORE

  2. 2. Modelling the Exchange Rate: Evidence from the Impacts of Quantitative Easing in Sweden

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Anny Eklund; Markus Sallkvist; [2024]
    Keywords : Quantitative easing; Exchange rate; Bayesian VAR model; Small open economy; Triangular factorisation;

    Abstract : Quantitative easing, the unconventional monetary policy measure used by many central banks to combat low inflation when interest rates are at the lower bound, has shown to be an effective tool for depreciating the domestic currency. Although the exchange rate is of particular importance in a small open economy as it directly impacts inflation dynamics,trade competitiveness and plays a substantial role in shaping monetary policy, few papers have investigated how the depreciating effect of QE to the exchange rate works. READ MORE

  3. 3. Regularization Methods and High Dimensional Data: A Comparative Study Based on Frequentist and Bayesian Methods

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Markus Gerholm; Johan Sörstadius; [2024]
    Keywords : Linear regression; high dimensional data; regularization; Bayesian methods; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : As the amount of high dimensional data becomes increasingly accessible and common, the need for reliable methods to combat problems such as overfitting and multicollinearity increases. Models need to be able to manage large data sets where predictor variables often outnumber the amount of observations. READ MORE

  4. 4. Spatio-temporal analysis of COVID-19 in Västra Götaland, Sweden

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Institutionen för matematiska vetenskaper

    Author : Natalia Andreeva; [2023-08-23]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : Spatio-temporal analysis of COVID-19 data with the two different statistical approaches is the main objective of this thesis. The first classical approach, the Endemic-Epidemic framework (Held et al., 2005) is a class of multivariate time-series models for the incidence counts, obtained from the surveillance systems. READ MORE

  5. 5. Forecasting Volatility of Ether- An empirical evaluation of volatility models and their capacity to forecast one-day-ahead volatility of Ether

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Johannes Marmdal; Adam Törnqvist; [2023-06-29]
    Keywords : Forecast; Volatility; Ether; GARCH; EWMA; SMA;

    Abstract : This study evaluates the performance of volatility models in forecasting one-day-ahead volatility of the cryptocurrency Ether. The selected models are: GARCH, EGARCH, GJR-GARCH, SMA9, SMA20, and EWMA. We investigate both in-sample performance and out-of-sample performance. READ MORE