Essays about: "Negativ Binomial fördelning"

Found 1 essay containing the words Negativ Binomial fördelning.

  1. 1. Favourable Opportunities in Sports Betting - A Statistical Approach to Football Goals in the Premier League

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Fredrik Lindau; Gustaf Carle; [2022]
    Keywords : statistics; Poisson distribution; Negative Binomial distribution; Bayesian regression; football; Premier League; sports betting; market efficiency; probability theory; estimations; statistik; Poisson fördelning; Negativ Binomial fördelning; Bayesiansk regression; fotboll; Premier League; betting; marknadseffektivitet; sannolikhetsteori; skattningar;

    Abstract : The premise of this report is to delve into sports betting and whether favourable opportunities can be found, more specifically focusing on over and under odds for number of goals scored in football games of the Premier League. Using historical data from football matches several models are developed, the characteristics of goals warranting the use of probability based Poisson and Negative Binomial models, as well as Bayesian Poisson regression for goal predictions. READ MORE