Essays about: "probability mathematics"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 79 essays containing the words probability mathematics.

  1. 1. A temporal Hawkes process model for shooting occurrences in Sweden

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Sara Kopelman; [2024]
    Keywords : Point processes; stochastic processes; statistics; conditional intensity; crime; shootings; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : The Hawkes process, also referred to as a self-exciting point process, is a class of point processes where the intensity is conditioned on previous events. More specifically, an event occurrence excites the process, temporarily increasing the probability of more events occurring. READ MORE

  3. 2. Regularization Methods and High Dimensional Data: A Comparative Study Based on Frequentist and Bayesian Methods

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Markus Gerholm; Johan Sörstadius; [2024]
    Keywords : Linear regression; high dimensional data; regularization; Bayesian methods; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : As the amount of high dimensional data becomes increasingly accessible and common, the need for reliable methods to combat problems such as overfitting and multicollinearity increases. Models need to be able to manage large data sets where predictor variables often outnumber the amount of observations. READ MORE

  4. 3. The deductibles impact on the risk premium

    University essay from Umeå universitet/Institutionen för matematik och matematisk statistik

    Author : Ludvig Bergman; [2023]
    Keywords : deductible; insurance mathematics; non-life insurance pricing; Försäkringsmatematik; självrisk; självrisker;

    Abstract : The aim of this master thesis is to derive methods that assesses the impact the deductiblehas on the risk premium of an insurance contract. The additive structure of a deductiblenecessitates approaches beyond treating it as a regular covariate in a generalized linearmodel for predicting the risk premium. READ MORE

  5. 4. A Predictive Analysis of Customer Churn

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Olivia Eskils; Anna Backman; [2023]
    Keywords : Churn prediction; CRM; optimization; applied mathematics; machine learning; gradient boosting; random forest; logistic regression; insurance industry; Kundbortfall; CRM; optimering; tillämpad matematik; maskininlärning; gradient boosting; random forest; logistisk regression; försäkringsbranschen;

    Abstract : Churn refers to the discontinuation of a contract; consequently, customer churn occurs when existing customers stop being customers. Predicting customer churn is a challenging task in customer retention, but with the advancements made in the field of artificial intelligence and machine learning, the feasibility to predict customer churn has increased. READ MORE

  6. 5. Wind Turbine Recovery Forecasting using Survival Analysis

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Anton Palets; [2023]
    Keywords : Survival analysis; Recovery Forecast; Wind Turbine; Availability Forecast; AFT model; Aalen s model; Cox regression; Cox Proportional Hazards; Variation Processes; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : The goal of this thesis is to present a methodology for predicting time until recovery of failed wind turbines. The necessity is motivated by the potential for more accurate wind energy export forecasts. The current approach rests entirely on having an expert examine the turbine and produce a time estimate. READ MORE