Principal Component Modelling of Fuel Consumption ofSeagoing Vessels and Optimising Fuel Consumption as a Mixed-Integer Problem

Abstract: The fuel consumption of a seagoing vessel is, through a combination of Box-Cox transforms and principal component analysis, reduced to a univariatefunction of the primary principle component with mean model error −3.2%and error standard deviation 10.3%. In the process, a Latin-hypercube-inspired space partitioning sampling technique is developed and successfully used to produce a representative sampleused in determining the regression coefficients. Finally, a formal optimisation problem for minimising the fuel use is described. The problem is derived from a parametrised expression for the fuel consumption, and has only 3, or 2 if simplified, free variables at each timestep. Some information has been redacted in order to comply with NDA restrictions. Most redactions are either names (of vessels or otherwise), units, andin some cases (especially on figures) quantities.