Essays about: "extremvärdesteori"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 10 essays containing the word extremvärdesteori.

  1. 1. Anomaly Detection in the EtherCAT Network of a Power Station : Improving a Graph Convolutional Neural Network Framework

    University essay from KTH/Skolan för elektroteknik och datavetenskap (EECS)

    Author : Niklas Barth; [2023]
    Keywords : Unsupervised Learning; Multivariate Time Series; Graph Convolutional Neural Networks; Anomaly Detection; Industrial Control System; EtherCAT; Power Station; Electricity Grid;

    Abstract : In this thesis, an anomaly detection framework is assessed and fine-tuned to detect and explain anomalies in a power station, where EtherCAT, an Industrial Control System, is employed for monitoring. The chosen framework is based on a previously published Graph Neural Network (GNN) model, utilizing attention mechanisms to capture complex relationships between diverse measurements within the EtherCAT system. READ MORE

  2. 2. Generating Extreme Value Distributions in Finance using Generative Adversarial Networks

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : William Nord-Nilsson; [2023]
    Keywords : Extreme Value Theory; Generative Adversarial Networks; Stress Testing; Machine Learning; Convolutional Neural Networks; evtGAN; Extreme Events; Extremvärdesteori; Generativa nätverk; Stresstestning; Maskininlärning; Djupt neuralt nätverk; evtGAN; Extrema händelser;

    Abstract : This thesis aims to develop a new model for stress-testing financial portfolios using Extreme Value Theory (EVT) and General Adversarial Networks (GANs). The current practice of risk management relies on mathematical or historical models, such as Value-at-Risk and expected shortfall. READ MORE

  3. 3. Risk Assessment of International Mixed Asset Portfolio with Vine Copulas

    University essay from Linköpings universitet/Tillämpad matematik; Linköpings universitet/Tekniska fakulteten

    Author : Axel Nilsson; [2022]
    Keywords : Vine Copulas; Extreme Value Theory; Financial Risk Management; Vine Copulas; Extremvärdesteori; Finansiell riskhantering;

    Abstract : This thesis gives an example of assessing the risk of a financial portfolio with international assets, where the assets may be of different classes, by the use of Monte Carlo simulation and Extreme Value Theory. The simulation uses univariate modelling, models of the assets’ returns as stochastic processes, as well as vine copulas to create dependency between the variables. READ MORE

  4. 4. Applying Peaks-Over-Threshold for Increasing the Speed of Convergence of a Monte Carlo Simulation

    University essay from KTH/Matematik (Avd.)

    Author : Eric Jakobsson; Thor Åhlgren; [2022]
    Keywords : Monte Carlo Simulation; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Peaks- Over-Threshold; Life Insurances; Generalized Pareto Distribution; Extreme-Value-Theory; Monte Carlo Simulation; Value-at-Risk; Expected Shortfall; Peaks-Over-Threshold; Livförsäkringar; Generalized Pareto Fördelning; Extremvärdesteori;

    Abstract : This thesis investigates applying the semiparametric method Peaks-Over-Threshold on data generated from a Monte Carlo simulation when estimating the financial risk measures Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall. The goal is to achieve a faster convergence than a Monte Carlo simulation when assessing extreme events that symbolise the worst outcomes of a financial portfolio. READ MORE

  5. 5. An Extreme Value Approach to Modelling Construction Defect Insurance Claims

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Matilda Ekermann; Ida Swartling; [2022]
    Keywords : Extreme value theory; insurance; block-maxima; peaks over threshold; Poisson process; Mathematics and Statistics;

    Abstract : Predicting future large claims, as well as the total cost, of a specific insurance is essential for insurance companies, for example when setting premium levels or purchasing reinsurance coverage. The purpose of this thesis is to investigate if extreme value theory can be applied to construction defect insurance claims. READ MORE