Essays about: "forecasting financial markets"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 43 essays containing the words forecasting financial markets.

  1. 1. Volatility Modelling in the Swedish and US Fixed Income Market : A comparative study of GARCH, ARCH, E-GARCH and GJR-GARCH Models on Government Bonds

    University essay from Linköpings universitet/Nationalekonomi; Linköpings universitet/Filosofiska fakulteten

    Author : Sebastian Mortimore; William Sturehed; [2023]
    Keywords : GARCH; ARCH; GJR-GARCH; E-GARCH; ARMA; Government Bonds; Volatility; Loss functions; Fixed Income Market and realized volatility.; ARCH; GARCH; GJR-GARCH; E-GARCH; Statsobligationer och Volatilitet;

    Abstract : Volatility is an important variable in financial markets, risk management and making investment decisions. Different volatility models are beneficial tools to use when predicting future volatility. The purpose of this study is to compare the accuracy of various volatility models, including ARCH, GARCH and extensions of the GARCH framework. READ MORE

  3. 2. Extracting Growth Expectations from Financial Markets: An Investigation into the Dividend Market Dynamics

    University essay from Handelshögskolan i Stockholm/Institutionen för nationalekonomi

    Author : Gösta Lycke; [2023]
    Keywords : Dividend futures; GDP growth forecasting; Economic shocks; Market expectations; Financial market derivatives;

    Abstract : Dividend futures, reflecting the economic surplus, can be used as a forecasting tool for dividend and GDP growth. Building on prior research, I broaden the scope of analysis by encompassing a range of countries and evaluate the impact of shocks such as a military conflict on dividend and GDP growth expectations. READ MORE

  4. 3. Machine Learning Based Stock Price Prediction by Integrating ARIMA model and Sentiment Analysis with Insights from News and Information

    University essay from Blekinge Tekniska Högskola/Institutionen för datavetenskap

    Author : Teja Sai Vaibhav Boppana; Joseph Sudheer Vinakonda; [2023]
    Keywords : Machine Learning; Market Trends; News; Headlines Stock Price Prediction; VADER.;

    Abstract : Background: Predicting stock prices in today’s complex financial landscape is asignificant challenge. An innovative approach to address this challenge is integrating sentiment analysis techniques with the well-established Autoregressive IntegratedMoving Average (ARIMA) model. READ MORE

  5. 4. The Influence of Gold Market on Bitcoin Prices : Is there a correlation?

    University essay from Jönköping University/Internationella Handelshögskolan

    Author : Kasra Shariati; [2022]
    Keywords : Bitcoin; Gold; Investor Attention; Market Performance; Virtual Currency Development; Investments; Correlation;

    Abstract : Background: This paper analyses the influence of fluctuation in gold market on bitcoin prices. Based on previous studies, in present market conditions, volatility in gold prices have caused price changes in several other major assets in the market, such as crude oil. Gold fluctuations are likely to stimulate uncertainty in some other major assets. READ MORE

  6. 5. Volatility & The Black Swan : Investigation of Univariate ARCH-models, HARRV and Implied Volatility in Nasdaq100 amid Covid19

    University essay from Uppsala universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen

    Author : Karl Tingstedt; [2022]
    Keywords : SV; ARCH; GARCH; TARCH; EGARCH; HARRV; IV; RV; Integrated Volatility; TINA;

    Abstract : Covid19 hit the world’s financial markets by surprise in March 2020 and ensuing volatility marked an end to the prior low-volatility environment. This Black Swan engendered numerous publications establishing how the equity market responded to the exogenous shock. READ MORE