Essays about: "volatility prediction model"

Showing result 1 - 5 of 43 essays containing the words volatility prediction model.

  1. 1. Exploring the Idiosyncratic Volatility Anomaly in the Swedish Stock Market: An Empirical Analysis of its Impact on Returns

    University essay from Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School

    Author : Anton Ahlqvist; Walter Uong; [2023-06-29]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : We examine the cross-sectional relationship between idiosyncratic volatility relative to the Fama-French three factor model and expected stock returns. We find that portfolios containing the firms with the lowest idiosyncratic risk offers excess returns in relation to the prediction of the Fama-French three factor model, while those with the highest idiosyncratic risk do not. READ MORE

  2. 2. Stock market analysis with a Markovian approach: Properties and prediction of OMXS30

    University essay from KTH/Matematisk statistik

    Author : Max Aronsson; Anna Folkesson; [2023]
    Keywords : Markov chain; OMXS30; Markov chain properties; voting ensemble model; markovkedja; OMXS30; egenskaper hos markovkedjor; ensemble-modell;

    Abstract : This paper investigates how Markov chain modelling can be applied to the Swedish stock index OMXS30. The investigation is two-fold. Firstly, a Markov chain is based on index data from recent years, where properties such as transition matrix, stationary distribution and hitting time are studied. READ MORE

  3. 3. CryptoCurrency Time Series analysis : Comparative analysis between LSTM and BART Algorithm

    University essay from Blekinge Tekniska Högskola/Institutionen för datavetenskap

    Author : Lakshmi Vyshnavi Nerella; Chiranjeevi Ponnada; [2023]
    Keywords : ;

    Abstract : Background: Cryptocurrency is an innovative digital or virtual form of money thatuses cryptographic techniques for secured financial transactions within a decentralized structure. Due to its high volatility and susceptibility to external factors, itis difficult to understand its behavior which makes accurate predictions challengingfor the investors who are trying to forecast price changes and make profitable investments. READ MORE

  4. 4. A Mixed Time-Series & Machine Learning Approach for Price Forecasting in the Swedish Ancillary Market

    University essay from Lunds universitet/Nationalekonomiska institutionen; Lunds universitet/Statistiska institutionen

    Author : Daniel Arredondo; [2023]
    Keywords : Hybrid model; Volatility model; Machine learning model; Price spike prediction; Energy trading; Time series forecasting; Ancillary service market; Business and Economics;

    Abstract : This study aims to forecast the Swedish FCR-D Down A2 market prices through a hybrid model combining a volatility model and a machine learning approach, and compares its performance with a standalone machine learning model. We further examine the impact of different lag orders (1-Hr vs. 24-Hr) on volatility estimates and forecast performance. READ MORE

  5. 5. Segmentation and Valuation in  Stockholm Housing Market : Spatial Continuous and Discontinuous Submarkets Evaluating by Hedonic Price Model and XGBoost Model

    University essay from KTH/Fastighetsekonomi och finans

    Author : Xianglin Sun; [2023]
    Keywords : housing market segmentation ; spatial continuity ; hedonic price model ; XGBoost model ; segmentering av bostadsmarknaden ; rumslig kontinuitet ; hedonisk prismodell ; XGBoost modell ;

    Abstract : The housing market segmentation could provide a reference for more targeted policymaking and investment strategies. Although there have been many studies, there are no consistent submarkets delineating methods because of a lack of theoretical support and subjective evaluation. In this paper, two market segmentation methods are introduced. READ MORE